1986 - 2000年国家卫生支出 - Suppr

Health Care Financ Rev. 1987 Summer;8(4):1-36.

Patterns of spending for health during 1986 and beyond reflect a mixture of adherence to and change from historical trends. From a level of $458 billion in 1986--10.9 percent of the GNP--national health expenditures are projected to reach $1.5 trillion by the year 2000--15.0 percent of the GNP. This article presents a provisional estimate of spending in 1986 and projections of spending (under the assumption of current law) through the year 2000. Also discussed are the effects of the demographic composition of the population on spending for health, and how spending would increase in the future simply as a result of the evolution of that composition.

1986年及以后的卫生支出模式反映了对历史趋势的遵循与背离。1986年全国卫生支出为4580亿美元，占国民生产总值的10.9%，预计到2000年将达到1.5万亿美元，占国民生产总值的15.0%。本文给出了1986年支出的初步估计以及到2000年（根据现行法律假设）的支出预测。还讨论了人口的人口结构组成对卫生支出的影响，以及仅因该组成结构的演变未来支出将如何增加。