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本文引用的文献

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Trials: the next 50 years. Large scale randomised evidence of moderate benefits.试验：未来50年。适度益处的大规模随机证据。
BMJ. 1998 Oct 31;317(7167):1170-1. doi: 10.1136/bmj.317.7167.1170.
2
Tutorial in biostatistics Bayesian data monitoring in clinical trials.生物统计学教程：临床试验中的贝叶斯数据监测
Stat Med. 1997 Jun 30;16(12):1413-30. doi: 10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(19970630)16:12<1413::aid-sim578>3.0.co;2-u.
3
Assessing whether to perform a confirmatory randomized clinical trial.评估是否开展一项验证性随机临床试验。
J Natl Cancer Inst. 1996 Nov 20;88(22):1645-51. doi: 10.1093/jnci/88.22.1645.
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Meta-analysis and the synthesis of evidence.荟萃分析与证据综合
IMA J Math Appl Med Biol. 1995 Sep-Dec;12(3-4):297-313. doi: 10.1093/imammb/12.3-4.297.
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Meta-analysis in the design and monitoring of clinical trials.临床试验设计与监测中的荟萃分析。
Stat Med. 1996 Jun 30;15(12):1237-48; discussion 1249-52. doi: 10.1002/(SICI)1097-0258(19960630)15:12<1237::AID-SIM301>3.0.CO;2-N.
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The statistical basis of public policy: a paradigm shift is overdue.公共政策的统计基础：范式转变刻不容缓。
BMJ. 1996 Sep 7;313(7057):603-7. doi: 10.1136/bmj.313.7057.603.
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Prime time for Bayes.贝叶斯的黄金时代。
Control Clin Trials. 1995 Oct;16(5):313-8. doi: 10.1016/0197-2456(95)00072-0.
8
An introduction to the Bayesian analysis of clinical trials.临床试验的贝叶斯分析介绍。
Ann Emerg Med. 1993 Aug;22(8):1328-36. doi: 10.1016/s0196-0644(05)80119-2.
9
Decision making during a phase III randomized controlled trial.III期随机对照试验中的决策制定
Control Clin Trials. 1994 Oct;15(5):360-78. doi: 10.1016/0197-2456(94)90033-7.
10
A unified method for monitoring and analysing controlled trials.一种监测和分析对照试验的统一方法。
Stat Med. 1994 Sep 30;13(18):1815-26. doi: 10.1002/sim.4780131804.

Methods in health service research. An introduction to bayesian methods in health technology assessment.

作者信息

Spiegelhalter D J, Myles J P, Jones D R, Abrams K R

机构信息

MRC Biostatistics Unit, Institute of Public Health, Cambridge CB2 2SR.

出版信息

BMJ. 1999 Aug 21;319(7208):508-12. doi: 10.1136/bmj.319.7208.508.

DOI:10.1136/bmj.319.7208.508
PMID:10454409
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1116393/
Abstract
摘要