How complete is AIDS surveillance in Europe? An eagle eye comparison with mortality data.

OBJECTIVES

Preliminary assessment of the adequacy of AIDS surveillance efforts in Europe by comparing data from two official sources-AIDS surveillance and mortality statistics.

METHODS

The study used ENAADS (European Non-Aggregate AIDS Data Set) data compiled by the European Centre for the Epidemiological Monitoring of AIDS in St Maurice, France, and mortality statistics from WHO. As ENAADS provides information about AIDS incidence as well as AIDS mortality, both series were compared with WHO mortality data. Western European countries with more than 1000 adult AIDS cases as of July 1997 were included in the cross country comparative analyses.

RESULTS

AIDS surveillance and mortality statistics in Europe depict four different patterns: (1) high overall concordance (Austria, Italy, Switzerland); (2) concordance between incidence by ENAADS and mortality by WHO, but a delay in mortality reporting in ENAADS (France, Spain); (3) more cases in WHO mortality data than in ENAADS data (Germany, Portugal); (4) more cases in ENAADS data than in WHO mortality data (Sweden, United Kingdom, Greece, Belgium).

CONCLUSIONS

National AIDS surveillance systems in Europe exhibit important differences in terms of completeness and functionality. New challenges such as the introduction of effective but expensive and complex treatments will exert demands on surveillance efforts. Countries with discrepant AIDS and mortality data should try to improve and update their surveillance systems.