Wint G R William, Robinson Timothy P, Bourn David M, Durr Peter A, Hay Simon I, Randolph Sarah E, Rogers David J
Environmental Research Group Oxford, PO Box 346, OX1 3QE, Oxford, UK.
Trends Microbiol. 2002 Oct;10(10):441-4. doi: 10.1016/s0966-842x(02)02444-7.
The incidence of bovine tuberculosis (BTB) is increasing in Great Britain, exacerbated by the temporary suspension of herd testing in 2001 for fear of spreading the much more contagious foot and mouth disease. The transmission pathways of BTB remain poorly understood. Current hypotheses suggest the disease is introduced into susceptible herds from a wildlife reservoir (principally the Eurasian Badger) and/or from cattle purchased from infected areas, while the role of climatic factors in transmission has generally been ignored. Here, we show how remotely sensed satellite data, which provide good indicators of a variety of climatic factors, can be used to describe the distribution of BTB in Great Britain in 1997, and suggest how such data could be used to produce BTB risk maps for the future.
在英国，牛结核病（BTB）的发病率正在上升。2001年，由于担心传播传染性更强的口蹄疫，畜群检测工作暂时中止，这使得情况更加恶化。牛结核病的传播途径仍未得到充分了解。目前的假说认为，该病是从野生动物宿主（主要是欧亚獾）和/或从感染地区购买的牛引入易感畜群的，而气候因素在传播中的作用通常被忽视。在这里，我们展示了如何利用提供各种气候因素良好指标的遥感卫星数据来描述1997年英国牛结核病的分布情况，并提出如何利用这些数据绘制未来的牛结核病风险地图。
