Breiman Robert F, Evans Meirion R, Preiser Wolfgang, Maguire James, Schnur Alan, Li Ailan, Bekedam Henk, MacKenzie John S
International Centre for Diarrheal Disease Research, Bangladesh-Centre for Health and Population Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Emerg Infect Dis. 2003 Sep;9(9):1037-41. doi: 10.3201/eid0909.030390.
China holds the key to solving many questions crucial to global control of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). The disease appears to have originated in Guangdong Province, and the causative agent, SARS coronavirus, is likely to have originated from an animal host, perhaps sold in public markets. Epidemiologic findings, integral to defining an animal-human linkage, may be confirmed by laboratory studies; once animal host (s) are confirmed, interventions may be needed to prevent further animal-to-human transmission. Community seroprevalence studies may help determine the basis for the decline in disease incidence in Guangdong Province after February 2002. China will also be able to contribute key data about how the causative agent is transmitted and how it is evolving, as well as identifying pivotal factors influencing disease outcome.
中国掌握着解决许多对全球控制严重急性呼吸综合征(SARS)至关重要问题的关键。该疾病似乎起源于广东省,其病原体SARS冠状病毒很可能源自动物宿主,或许是在公共市场出售的动物。对于确定动物与人类之间联系不可或缺的流行病学发现,可能会通过实验室研究得到证实;一旦确认动物宿主,可能需要采取干预措施以防止进一步的动物传人传播。社区血清流行率研究可能有助于确定2002年2月后广东省疾病发病率下降的原因。中国还能够提供有关病原体传播方式及其演变情况的关键数据,以及确定影响疾病转归的关键因素。