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中国新冠肺炎疫情爆发的原因:基于危机管理的视角。

What Caused the Outbreak of COVID-19 in China: From the Perspective of Crisis Management.

机构信息

School of Public Administration, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China.

School of Geography, the University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC 3010, Australia.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 May 8;17(9):3279. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17093279.

Abstract

Since the first known case of a COVID-19 infected patient in Wuhan, China on 8 December 2019, COVID-19 has spread to more than 200 countries, causing a worldwide public health crisis. The existing literature fails to examine what caused this sudden outbreak from a crisis management perspective. This article attempts to fill this research gap through analysis of big data, officially released information and other social media sources to understand the root cause of the crisis as it relates to China's current management system and public health policy. The article draws the following conclusions: firstly, strict government control over information was the main reason for the early silencing of media announcements, which directly caused most people to be unprepared and unaware of COVID-19. Secondly, a choice between addressing a virus with an unknown magnitude and nature, and mitigating known public panic during a politically and culturally sensitive time, lead to falsehood and concealment. Thirdly, the weak autonomous management power of local public health management departments is not conducive for providing a timely response to the crisis. Finally, the privatization of many state-owned hospitals led to the unavailability of public health medical resources to serve affected patients in the Wuhan and Hubei Province. This article suggests that China should adopt a Singaporean-style public health crisis information management system to ensure information disclosure and information symmetry and should use it to monitor public health crises in real time. In addition, the central government should adopt the territorial administration model of a public health crisis and increase investment in public health in China.

摘要

自 2019 年 12 月 8 日中国武汉首例 COVID-19 感染患者以来,COVID-19 已蔓延至 200 多个国家,引发了全球公共卫生危机。现有文献未能从危机管理的角度探讨导致这一突发疫情的原因。本文试图通过对大数据、官方发布信息和其他社交媒体来源的分析,从中国现行管理体制和公共卫生政策的角度,了解危机的根源。本文得出以下结论:首先,政府对信息的严格控制是媒体公告早期被压制的主要原因,这直接导致大多数人对 COVID-19 毫无准备和一无所知。其次,在一个政治和文化上敏感的时期,政府在处理一个未知规模和性质的病毒与缓解已知的公众恐慌之间做出了选择,导致了虚假和隐瞒。第三,地方公共卫生管理部门自主管理权力薄弱,不利于对危机做出及时反应。最后,许多国有医院的私有化导致公共卫生医疗资源无法为武汉和湖北省的受影响患者提供服务。本文建议中国应采用新加坡式的公共卫生危机信息管理制度,确保信息披露和信息对称,并利用该制度实时监测公共卫生危机。此外,中央政府应采用公共卫生危机的属地管理模式,增加中国在公共卫生方面的投入。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a161/7246516/9e9e73175768/ijerph-17-03279-g001.jpg

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