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20世纪80年代丹麦中年男性缺血性心脏病死亡率显著下降以及其他原因导致的死亡率同时发生的变化

[A marked decline in the mortality from ischemic heart disease among middle aged Danish men in the 1980's and simultaneous changes of mortality because of other causes].

作者信息

Gerdes L U

机构信息

Medicinsk-kardiologisk afdeling A, Arhus Amtssygehus.

出版信息

Ugeskr Laeger. 1992 Dec 7;154(50):3580-6.

PMID:1471276
Abstract

The mortality from ischaemic heart disease (IHD) in 35-64 year old Danish men has declined by 27% from 1981 to 1989. In the same period, a lesser increase in mortality from all other causes was observed. However, this is a heterogenous phenomenon, since the mortality from (in particular) infectious diseases (AIDS), diabetes mellitus, and a number of diseases related to heavy drinking has increased, whereas the suicide rate and mortality from lung cancer (in 1985-89) have decreased. It is not possible to evaluate the contribution of improved treatment of IHD cases and a decreasing incidence of disease, respectively, to the decline in mortality from IHD. A decreasing incidence is very probable, however, since both the percentage of smokers and the plasma cholesterol levels in middle-aged men have declined significantly since mid-1970s and leisure time physical activity has increased. The trend in IHD mortality in the 1980s points to a sustained decline in the 1990s and a levelling off in the increase in mortality from other causes. Thus total mortality is expected to decrease more rapidly in the 1990s, resulting in an increase in life expectancy of Danish men.

摘要

1981年至1989年间,35至64岁丹麦男性的缺血性心脏病(IHD)死亡率下降了27%。在同一时期,观察到所有其他原因导致的死亡率有较小幅度的上升。然而,这是一个异质性现象,因为(特别是)传染病(艾滋病)、糖尿病以及一些与大量饮酒相关疾病的死亡率有所上升,而自杀率和肺癌死亡率(在1985 - 1989年期间)有所下降。无法分别评估改善缺血性心脏病病例的治疗和疾病发病率下降对缺血性心脏病死亡率下降的贡献。然而,发病率下降是很有可能的,因为自20世纪70年代中期以来,中年男性吸烟者的比例和血浆胆固醇水平都显著下降,且休闲时间的体育活动有所增加。20世纪80年代缺血性心脏病死亡率的趋势表明,20世纪90年代将持续下降,其他原因导致的死亡率上升将趋于平稳。因此,预计20世纪90年代总死亡率将更快下降,从而使丹麦男性的预期寿命增加。

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