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[丹麦心脏病死亡率的下降:一些方法学问题]

[Decline in mortality from heart disease in Denmark: some methodological problems].

作者信息

Juel K, Sjøl A

机构信息

Dansk Institut for Klinisk Epidemiologi, København.

出版信息

Ugeskr Laeger. 1996 Sep 9;158(37):5161-5.

PMID:8848848
Abstract

Mortality rates in Denmark from ischaemic heart diseases (IHD), other heart diseases and sudden death of unknown cause are presented for the period 1968-1992. In all age groups, mortality from IHD is higher at the beginning of the period than at the end. For other heart disease, the plot of the mortality rate is U-shaped for the age groups 65-84 and > or = 85, whereas for the age group 30-64 it first decreases and is then constant. There are an increasing number of deaths from symptomatic heart disease. For the group of unknown cause, the rates are increasing for all sex and age groups The relationship between deaths from IHD and death from unknown cause varies with period, age, sex and region. For women in Copenhagen in the age group 30-64, the mortality rate from unknown cause is higher than the rate for IHD at the end of period. Vital statistics must therefore be used cautiously in analysing trends for IHD, and even the validity of temporal changes within a country must be questioned.

摘要

本文呈现了丹麦1968年至1992年期间缺血性心脏病(IHD)、其他心脏病以及不明原因猝死的死亡率。在所有年龄组中,IHD死亡率在该时期开始时高于末期。对于其他心脏病,65 - 84岁和≥85岁年龄组的死亡率曲线呈U形,而30 - 64岁年龄组则先下降然后保持稳定。有症状心脏病导致的死亡人数在增加。对于不明原因组,所有性别和年龄组的死亡率都在上升。IHD死亡与不明原因死亡之间的关系因时期、年龄、性别和地区而异。对于哥本哈根30 - 64岁年龄组的女性,不明原因死亡率在该时期末期高于IHD死亡率。因此,在分析IHD趋势时必须谨慎使用人口动态统计数据,甚至一个国家内时间变化的有效性也值得质疑。

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