Craig Leam A, Browne Kevin D, Stringer Ian
Willows Clinic, Birmingham, Edgbaston B15 2TT, United Kingdom.
Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol. 2004 Feb;48(1):7-27. doi: 10.1177/0306624X03257243.
The purpose of this study on 139 sex offenders was to consider the application of six measures of risk: Static-99, SACJ-Min (Structured Anchored Clinical Judgment Scale-Minimum), RRASOR (Rapid Risk Assessment for Sexual Offence Recidivism), Risk Matrix 2000-Sexual/Violent, and SVR-20 (Sexual Violence Risk-20) and to compare risk assessments conducted by a Regional Secure Unit (RSU) and the Probation Service. Levels of risk for the RSU sample ranged from 1% to 42% low risk to 1% to 66% high risk compared with the Probation sample of 8% to 43% low risk to 4% to 70% high risk. Offenders with adult victims obtained significantly higher scores using the RM2000/S and SACJ-Min than did those with child victims who obtained significantly higher scores on the RRASOR. Sex offenders referred to a RSU scored significantly higher on RRASOR and RM2000/S than did sex offenders supervised by the Probation Service. Forensic practitioners may be better served if risk measures assess specific subcategories of sexual offenders.
这项针对139名性犯罪者的研究目的是考量六种风险评估方法的应用：静态-99量表、SACJ-Min（结构化锚定临床判断量表-简版）、RRASOR（性犯罪再犯快速风险评估）、风险矩阵2000-性暴力/暴力犯罪版以及SVR-20（性暴力风险-20），并比较由一个区域安全机构（RSU）和缓刑服务机构所进行的风险评估。与缓刑样本的低风险比例为8%至43%、高风险比例为4%至70%相比，RSU样本的风险水平为低风险1%至42%、高风险1%至66%。成年受害者的犯罪者使用RM2000/S和SACJ-Min量表获得的分数显著高于儿童受害者的犯罪者，而儿童受害者的犯罪者在RRASOR量表上获得的分数显著更高。被转介到RSU的性犯罪者在RRASOR和RM2000/S量表上的得分显著高于由缓刑服务机构监管的性犯罪者。如果风险评估方法能针对性犯罪者的特定子类别进行评估，那么法医从业者可能会得到更好的服务。
