Michaelis J, Keller B, Haaf G, Kaatsch P
Institut für Medizinische Statistik und Dokumentation, Mainz, Germany.
Cancer Causes Control. 1992 May;3(3):255-63. doi: 10.1007/BF00124259.
The incidence of childhood malignancies in 20 areas surrounding major nuclear installations is compared with the incidence in matched control regions. The study is based on the registry of childhood malignancies in the Federal Republic of Germany and includes 1,610 cases which were diagnosed before 15 years of age from 1980 to 1990. The relative risk (RR) was 0.97 for all malignancies and 1.06 for acute leukemia in all regions within a 15 km radius of an installation. Increased RR was observed in subgroups for acute leukemia before five years of age and for lymphomas, especially in regions close to installations (less than 5 km) which started operation before 1970. Most of this increase was attributable to an unexpectedly low incidence in the control regions which could not be explained by analyzing possible confounding factors. Using the same control regions, a comparable and even more pronounced increase of RRs was observed in regions where nuclear power plants have been projected.
对主要核设施周边20个地区儿童恶性肿瘤的发病率与匹配的对照地区的发病率进行了比较。该研究基于德意志联邦共和国儿童恶性肿瘤登记处的数据,涵盖了1980年至1990年期间15岁之前确诊的1610例病例。在距设施半径15公里范围内的所有地区,所有恶性肿瘤的相对风险(RR)为0.97,急性白血病的相对风险为1.06。在5岁之前患急性白血病的亚组以及淋巴瘤患者中观察到相对风险增加,特别是在1970年之前开始运营的靠近设施(小于5公里)的地区。这种增加大部分归因于对照地区意外的低发病率,通过分析可能的混杂因素无法解释这一现象。使用相同的对照地区,在已规划核电站的地区观察到相对风险有类似甚至更明显的增加。