Black R J, Urquhart J D, Kendrick S W, Bunch K J, Warner J, Jones D A
Scottish Health Service, Common Services Agency, Information and Statistics Division, Edinburgh.
BMJ. 1992 May 30;304(6839):1401-5. doi: 10.1136/bmj.304.6839.1401.
To determine whether a raised incidence of leukaemia in the Dounreay area occurred in children born to local mothers (birth cohort) or in those who moved to the area after birth (schools cohort) and also whether any cases of cancer have occurred in children born near Dounreay who may have moved elsewhere.
Follow up study.
Dounreay area of Caithness, Scotland.
4144 children born in the area in the period 1969-88 and 1641 children who attended local schools in the same period but who had been born elsewhere.
Cancer registration records linked to birth and school records with computerised probability matching methods.
Five cancer registrations were traced from the birth cohort compared with 5.8 expected on the basis of national rates (observed to expected ratio 0.9, 95% confidence interval 0.3 to 2.0). All five cases were of leukaemia (2.3, 0.7 to 5.4). In the schools cohort three cases were found (2.1, 0.4 to 6.2), all of which were of leukaemia (6.7, 1.4 to 19.5). All eight children were resident in the Dounreay area at the time of diagnosis; thus no cases were found in children who were born in or had attended school in the study area but who subsequently moved away.
The raised incidence of leukaemia in both the birth and schools cohorts suggests that place of birth is not a more important factor than place of residence in the series of cases of leukaemia observed near Dounreay area.
确定在敦雷地区,白血病发病率升高的情况是出现在当地母亲所生的儿童(出生队列)中,还是出现在出生后移居至该地区的儿童(学校队列)中,同时还要确定在敦雷附近出生但可能已移居至其他地方的儿童中是否出现了任何癌症病例。
随访研究。
苏格兰凯斯内斯郡的敦雷地区。
1969年至1988年期间在该地区出生的4144名儿童,以及同期在当地学校就读但出生在其他地方的1641名儿童。
通过计算机概率匹配方法将癌症登记记录与出生和学校记录相链接。
在出生队列中追踪到5例癌症登记病例,而根据全国发病率预期应为5.8例(观察到的与预期的比率为0.9,95%置信区间为0.3至2.0)。所有5例均为白血病(2.3,0.7至5.4)。在学校队列中发现了3例(2.1,0.4至6.2),所有这些病例均为白血病(6.7,1.4至19.5)。所有8名儿童在诊断时均居住在敦雷地区;因此,在研究地区出生或就读但随后搬走的儿童中未发现病例。
出生队列和学校队列中白血病发病率的升高表明,在敦雷地区附近观察到的一系列白血病病例中,出生地并非比居住地更重要的因素。