Urquhart J D, Black R J, Muirhead M J, Sharp L, Maxwell M, Eden O B, Jones D A
Information and Statistics Division, Scottish Health Service, Edinburgh.
BMJ. 1991 Mar 23;302(6778):687-92. doi: 10.1136/bmj.302.6778.687.
To examine whether the observed excess of childhood leukaemia and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in the area around the Dounreay nuclear installation is associated with established risk factors, or with factors related to the plant, or with parental occupation in the nuclear industry.
Case-control study.
Caithness local government district.
14 cases of leukaemia and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma occurring in children aged under 15 years diagnosed in the area between 1970 and 1986 and 55 controls matched for sex, date of birth, and area of residence within Caithness at time of birth.
Antenatal abdominal x ray examination; drugs taken and viral infections during pregnancy; father's occupation; father's employment at Dounreay and radiation dose; distance of usual residence from the path of microwave beams, preconceptional exposure to non-ionising radiation in the father; and other lifestyle factors.
No raised relative risks were found for prenatal exposure to x rays, social class of parents, employment at Dounreay before conception or diagnosis, father's dose of ionising radiation before conception, or child's residence within 50 m of the path of microwave transmission beams. Results also proved negative for all lifestyle factors except an apparent association with use of beaches within 25 km of Dounreay. However, this result was based on small numbers, arose in the context of multiple hypothesis testing, and is certainly vulnerable to possible systematic bias.
The raised incidence of childhood leukaemia and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma around Dounreay cannot be explained by paternal occupation at Dounreay or by paternal exposure to external ionising radiation before conception. The observation of an apparent association between the use of beaches around Dounreay and the development of childhood leukaemia and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma might be an artefact of multiple testing and influenced by recall bias.
研究敦雷核设施周边地区儿童白血病和非霍奇金淋巴瘤的明显超额发病情况,是否与既定风险因素、与该工厂相关的因素或父母在核工业中的职业有关。
病例对照研究。
凯斯内斯地方政府辖区。
1970年至1986年期间在该地区确诊的14例15岁以下儿童白血病和非霍奇金淋巴瘤病例,以及55名对照,对照在性别、出生日期和出生时在凯斯内斯的居住地区方面与病例匹配。
产前腹部X光检查;孕期服用的药物和病毒感染情况;父亲的职业;父亲在敦雷的工作及辐射剂量;常住地与微波束路径的距离、父亲孕前暴露于非电离辐射的情况;以及其他生活方式因素。
未发现产前暴露于X光、父母社会阶层、受孕前或诊断前在敦雷工作、父亲受孕前的电离辐射剂量,或儿童居住在微波传输束路径50米范围内与相对风险升高有关。除了与在敦雷25公里范围内使用海滩存在明显关联外,所有生活方式因素的结果也均为阴性。然而,这一结果基于少量样本,是在多重假设检验的背景下出现的,且肯定容易受到可能的系统偏差影响。
敦雷周边地区儿童白血病和非霍奇金淋巴瘤发病率的升高,无法用父亲在敦雷的职业或父亲受孕前暴露于外部电离辐射来解释。敦雷周边海滩使用与儿童白血病和非霍奇金淋巴瘤发病之间明显关联的观察结果,可能是多重检验的假象,并受回忆偏倚影响。