O'Brien Geoff, O'Keefe Phil, Rose Joanne, Wisner Ben
School of Applied Sciences, Northumbria University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK.
Disasters. 2006 Mar;30(1):64-80. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9523.2006.00307.x.
Climate change, although a natural phenomenon, is accelerated by human activities. Disaster policy response to climate change is dependent on a number of factors, such as readiness to accept the reality of climate change, institutions and capacity, as well as willingness to embed climate change risk assessment and management in development strategies. These conditions do not yet exist universally. A focus that neglects to enhance capacity-building and resilience as a prerequisite for managing climate change risks will, in all likelihood, do little to reduce vulnerability to those risks. Reducing vulnerability is a key aspect of reducing climate change risk. To do so requires a new approach to climate change risk and a change in institutional structures and relationships. A focus on development that neglects to enhance governance and resilience as a prerequisite for managing climate change risks will, in all likelihood, do little to reduce vulnerability to those risks.
气候变化虽是一种自然现象,但因人类活动而加速。应对气候变化的灾害政策取决于诸多因素,如接受气候变化现实的意愿、机构和能力,以及将气候变化风险评估与管理纳入发展战略的意愿。这些条件尚未普遍具备。忽视将加强能力建设和恢复力作为管理气候变化风险的先决条件的做法,很可能对降低面临这些风险的脆弱性收效甚微。减少脆弱性是降低气候变化风险的关键方面。为此需要一种应对气候变化风险的新方法,以及体制结构和关系的变革。忽视将加强治理和恢复力作为管理气候变化风险的先决条件的发展重点,很可能对降低面临这些风险的脆弱性收效甚微。
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