Leslie W D, Derksen S, Prior H J, Lix L M, Metge C, O'neil J
Department of Medicine, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada.
Osteoporos Int. 2006;17(9):1358-68. doi: 10.1007/s00198-006-0111-4. Epub 2006 Jun 13.
Efforts to develop global methods for absolute fracture risk prediction are currently limited by uncertainty over the validity of these models in non-White populations. Aboriginal Canadians have higher fractures rates than non-Aboriginals. This analysis examined the interaction of ethnicity with diabetes mellitus, disease comorbidity and substance abuse as possible explanatory variables.
A retrospective, population-based matched cohort study of fracture rates was performed using Manitoba administrative health data (1984-2003). The study cohort consisted of 27,952 registered Aboriginal adults (aged 20 years or older) and 83,856 non-Aboriginal controls (matched three to one for year of birth and gender). Diabetes mellitus, number of ambulatory disease groups (ADGs), substance abuse and incident fractures were based upon validated definitions. Poisson regression analyses of fracture rates modelled the explanatory variables as main effects and two-way interactions with ethnicity.
Osteoporotic fracture rates were approximately twofold higher in the Aboriginal cohort (p<0.0001). Diabetes, greater number of ADGs and substance abuse were all more common in the Aboriginal cohort (all p<0.0001). These factors were associated with increased fracture rates (all p<0.0001) and significantly higher population attributable risk percent in the Aboriginal cohort (all p<0.0001). However, no significant interactions between the risk factors and ethnicity were observed (p>0.1 for all interaction effects).
Greater prevalence of diabetes, comorbidity and substance abuse contributes to higher rates of fracture. The relative risk of fracture for these factors is similar for both Aboriginal and non-Aboriginals despite large differences in absolute fracture risk and risk factor prevalence.
目前,开发全球绝对骨折风险预测方法的努力受到这些模型在非白人人群中有效性不确定性的限制。加拿大原住民的骨折率高于非原住民。本分析研究了种族与糖尿病、疾病共病和药物滥用之间的相互作用,将其作为可能的解释变量。
利用曼尼托巴省行政卫生数据(1984 - 2003年)进行了一项基于人群的回顾性匹配队列骨折率研究。研究队列包括27952名注册的原住民成年人(年龄20岁及以上)和83856名非原住民对照(按出生年份和性别以三比一的比例匹配)。糖尿病、门诊疾病组数量(ADG)、药物滥用和新发骨折均基于经过验证的定义。骨折率的泊松回归分析将解释变量建模为主要效应以及与种族的双向相互作用。
原住民队列中的骨质疏松性骨折率大约高出两倍(p<0.0001)。糖尿病、更多的ADG和药物滥用在原住民队列中都更为常见(均p<0.0001)。这些因素与骨折率增加相关(均p<0.0001),并且在原住民队列中的人群归因风险百分比显著更高(均p<0.0001)。然而,未观察到风险因素与种族之间的显著相互作用(所有相互作用效应的p>0.1)。
糖尿病、共病和药物滥用的较高患病率导致了更高的骨折率。尽管绝对骨折风险和风险因素患病率存在很大差异,但这些因素对原住民和非原住民的骨折相对风险相似。