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具有空间脆弱性的动态生存模型。

Dynamic survival models with spatial frailty.

作者信息

Bastos Leonardo Soares, Gamerman Dani

机构信息

Departamento de Estatística, Universidade Federal do Paraná, Curitiba, PR, Brazil.

出版信息

Lifetime Data Anal. 2006 Dec;12(4):441-60. doi: 10.1007/s10985-006-9020-2. Epub 2006 Sep 20.

Abstract

In many survival studies, covariates effects are time-varying and there is presence of spatial effects. Dynamic models can be used to cope with the variations of the effects and spatial components are introduced to handle spatial variation. This paper proposes a methodology to simultaneously introduce these components into the model. A number of specifications for the spatial components are considered. Estimation is performed via a Bayesian approach through Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Models are compared to assess relevance of their components. Analysis of a real data set is performed, showing the relevance of both time-varying covariate effects and spatial components. Extensions to the methodology are proposed along with concluding remarks.

摘要

在许多生存研究中,协变量效应是随时间变化的,并且存在空间效应。动态模型可用于应对效应的变化,引入空间成分来处理空间变异。本文提出一种将这些成分同时引入模型的方法。考虑了空间成分的多种设定。通过马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法,采用贝叶斯方法进行估计。对模型进行比较以评估其成分的相关性。对一个真实数据集进行了分析,结果表明随时间变化的协变量效应和空间成分均具有相关性。同时提出了该方法的扩展内容以及总结性评论。

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