Strong Kathleen, Mathers Colin, Bonita Ruth
Department of Chronic Diseases and Health Promotion, WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.
Lancet Neurol. 2007 Feb;6(2):182-7. doi: 10.1016/S1474-4422(07)70031-5.
Stroke caused an estimated 5.7 million deaths in 2005, and 87% of these deaths were in low-income and middle-income countries. Without intervention, the number of global deaths is projected to rise to 6.5 million in 2015 and to 7.8 million in 2030. The rising burden of stroke, especially in low-income and middle-income countries, leads us to propose a worldwide goal for stroke: a 2% reduction each year over and above that which may happen as a result of better case management and treatment. The experience of high-income countries indicates that sustained interventions can achieve at least the required 4% annual average decline in stroke mortality for people age 60-69 years. Achieving this goal for stroke would result in 6.4 million fewer deaths from stroke from 2005 to 2015. More of these deaths will be averted in low-income and middle-income countries than in high-income countries.
2005年,中风导致约570万人死亡,其中87%的死亡发生在低收入和中等收入国家。若不采取干预措施,预计2015年全球中风死亡人数将增至650万,2030年将增至780万。中风负担不断加重,尤其是在低收入和中等收入国家,这促使我们提出一项全球中风防治目标:在因更好的病例管理和治疗而可能实现的降幅基础上,每年再降低2%。高收入国家的经验表明,持续干预措施至少能使60至69岁人群的中风死亡率实现每年4%的平均降幅。实现这一中风防治目标将使2005年至2015年期间中风死亡人数减少640万。低收入和中等收入国家避免的此类死亡人数将多于高收入国家。