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非洲牛传染性胸膜肺炎经济影响的评估。

An estimation of the economic impact of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia in Africa.

作者信息

Tambi N E, Maina W O, Ndi C

机构信息

African Union Interafrican Bureau for Animal Resources, Nairobi, Kenya.

出版信息

Rev Sci Tech. 2006 Dec;25(3):999-1011.

Abstract

Contagious bovine pleuropneumonia (CBPP) is a disease that causes high morbidity and mortality losses to cattle. The financial implications of these losses are of great significance to cattle owners. Control of CBPP is therefore important as a way to salvage the losses and increase the incomes of cattle owners. This study estimated the economic cost of CBPP and the benefits of its control in twelve sub-Saharan African countries using a spreadsheet economic model developed in Microsoft Excel. The value of morbidity and mortality losses was estimated at 30 million euros (2.5 million per country) while the total economic cost (direct and indirect production losses plus disease control costs) was estimated at 44.8 million euros (3.7 million euros per country). An investment of 14.7 million euros to control CBPP would prevent a loss of 30 million euros. The financial return on investment in CBPP control is positive, with benefit-cost ratios that range from 1.61 (Ghana) to 2.56 (Kenya).

摘要

牛传染性胸膜肺炎(CBPP)是一种给牛群带来高发病率和高死亡率损失的疾病。这些损失所涉及的经济影响对养牛户意义重大。因此,控制牛传染性胸膜肺炎对于挽回损失和增加养牛户收入至关重要。本研究使用在Microsoft Excel中开发的电子表格经济模型,估算了撒哈拉以南非洲12个国家牛传染性胸膜肺炎的经济成本及其控制效益。发病率和死亡率损失价值估计为3000万欧元(每个国家250万欧元),而总经济成本(直接和间接生产损失加上疾病控制成本)估计为4480万欧元(每个国家370万欧元)。投资1470万欧元控制牛传染性胸膜肺炎将避免3000万欧元的损失。控制牛传染性胸膜肺炎的投资财务回报率为正,效益成本比从1.61(加纳)到2.56(肯尼亚)不等。

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