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荟萃分析:克罗恩病的死亡率

Meta-analysis: mortality in Crohn's disease.

作者信息

Canavan C, Abrams K R, Mayberry J F

机构信息

Digestive Diseases Centre, University Hospitals of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Gwendolen Road, Leicester.

出版信息

Aliment Pharmacol Ther. 2007 Apr 15;25(8):861-70. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2036.2007.03276.x.

Abstract

AIM

To perform a meta-analysis is of published literature reporting standardized mortality ratios (SMR) for Crohn's patients from 1970 to date.

METHODS

Medline search identified relevant papers. Exploding references identified additional papers. When two papers reviewed mortality of one patient group at different times, the later publication was used.

RESULTS

Of 13 papers identified, three studies reported SMR below 1.0, two others had confidence intervals including 1.0. All other studies reported mortality higher than the general population. Meta-analysis using a random effects model shows the pooled estimate for SMR in Crohn's disease is 1.52 (95% CI: 1.32 to 1.74 [P < 0.0001]). Meta-regression shows the SMR for these patients has decreased slightly over the past 30 years, but this decrease is not statistically significant (P = 0.08).

CONCLUSION

Assessing evidence from original studies and conducting a meta-analysis shows age-adjusted mortality risk from Crohn's disease is over 50% greater than the general population. Whilst mortality has improved since the condition was first recognized, further evaluation of the patients studied in the cohorts included here is necessary to assess more recent changes in clinical practice.

摘要

目的

对已发表的关于1970年至今克罗恩病患者标准化死亡比(SMR)的文献进行荟萃分析。

方法

通过医学文献数据库检索确定相关论文。通过追溯参考文献确定其他论文。当两篇论文在不同时间回顾同一患者组的死亡率时,采用较新的发表文献。

结果

在确定的13篇论文中,三项研究报告的SMR低于1.0,另外两项研究的置信区间包含1.0。所有其他研究报告的死亡率均高于一般人群。采用随机效应模型进行的荟萃分析显示,克罗恩病患者SMR的合并估计值为1.52(95%置信区间:1.32至1.74[P<0.0001])。荟萃回归显示,在过去30年中,这些患者的SMR略有下降,但这种下降无统计学意义(P=0.08)。

结论

评估原始研究证据并进行荟萃分析表明,经年龄调整后,克罗恩病的死亡风险比一般人群高50%以上。虽然自该病首次被认识以来死亡率有所改善,但有必要对本研究队列中的患者进行进一步评估,以评估临床实践中最近的变化。

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