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印度尼西亚亚齐省的海啸死亡率。

Tsunami mortality in Aceh Province, Indonesia.

作者信息

Doocy Shannon, Rofi Abdur, Moodie Claire, Spring Eric, Bradley Scott, Burnham Gilbert, Robinson Courtland

机构信息

Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21153, USA.

出版信息

Bull World Health Organ. 2007 Apr;85(4):273-8. doi: 10.2471/blt.06.033308.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Nine tsunami-affected districts in Aceh, Indonesia, were surveyed between February and August 2005 to characterize tsunami mortality.

METHODS

The surveys employed a two-stage cluster methodology with probability proportional to size sampling, and encompassed 1653 tsunami-displaced households with a pre-tsunami population of 10 063 individuals.

FINDINGS

Of the original pre-tsunami population, a total of 1642 people, or 17%, were reported as dead or missing in the tsunami. Crude mortality rates in the four survey areas ranged from a high of 23.6% in Aceh Jaya district on the west coast to 5.3% on the east coast. Age-specific mortality rates followed a similar pattern across the four survey areas, with the highest mortality concentrating in the youngest children (aged 0-9 years) and oldest adults (70+). The risk of mortality was significantly greater among females than males; this difference was most pronounced among individuals between ages 10 and 69 years, and diminished among younger and older age groups.

CONCLUSION

Mortality risk in the 2004 Asian tsunami varied by geographic location, age and sex. The districts of Aceh Jaya, Banda Aceh and Aceh Besar experienced the greatest mortality. Risk of death was highest among females, and among the oldest and youngest population subgroups. While the full human impact of the Asian tsunami in Aceh Province, in terms of lives lost or damaged, may never be fully measured, the resulting female deficit will likely be the tsunamis most deeply felt and prolonged impact.

摘要

目的

2005年2月至8月间,对印度尼西亚亚齐省9个受海啸影响的地区进行了调查,以描述海啸造成的死亡情况。

方法

调查采用两阶段整群抽样方法,抽样概率与规模成比例,涵盖1653户受海啸影响而流离失所的家庭,海啸发生前的人口为10063人。

结果

在海啸发生前的原有人口中,共有1642人,即17%,被报告在海啸中死亡或失踪。四个调查地区的粗死亡率从西海岸亚齐贾亚区的23.6%到东海岸的5.3%不等。四个调查地区的年龄别死亡率呈现相似模式,最高死亡率集中在最小的儿童(0 - 9岁)和最年长的成年人(70岁及以上)。女性的死亡风险显著高于男性;这种差异在10至69岁的人群中最为明显,在较年轻和较年长的年龄组中则有所减小。

结论

2004年亚洲海啸造成的死亡风险因地理位置、年龄和性别而异。亚齐贾亚、班达亚齐和亚齐省中区的死亡率最高。女性、最年长者和最年幼者亚组的死亡风险最高。虽然亚洲海啸对亚齐省造成的全部人员伤亡,包括生命损失或伤害,可能永远无法完全衡量,但由此导致的女性人口短缺可能是海啸最深刻、持续时间最长的影响。

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