Hannaford Philip C, Selvaraj Sivasubramaniam, Elliott Alison M, Angus Valerie, Iversen Lisa, Lee Amanda J
Department of General Practice and Primary Care, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen AB25 2AY.
BMJ. 2007 Sep 29;335(7621):651. doi: 10.1136/bmj.39289.649410.55. Epub 2007 Sep 11.
To examine the absolute risks or benefits on cancer associated with oral contraception, using incident data.
Inception cohort study.
Royal College of General Practitioners' oral contraception study.
Directly standardised data from the Royal College of General Practitioners' oral contraception study.
Adjusted relative risks between never and ever users of oral contraceptives for different types of cancer, main gynaecological cancers combined, and any cancer. Standardisation variables were age, smoking, parity, social class, and (for the general practitioner observation dataset) hormone replacement therapy. Subgroup analyses examined whether the relative risks changed with user characteristics, duration of oral contraception usage, and time since last use of oral contraception.
The main dataset contained about 339,000 woman years of observation for never users and 744,000 woman years for ever users. Compared with never users ever users had statistically significant lower rates of cancers of the large bowel or rectum, uterine body, and ovaries, tumours of unknown site, and other malignancies; main gynaecological cancers combined; and any cancer. The relative risk for any cancer in the smaller general practitioner observation dataset was not significantly reduced. Statistically significant trends of increasing risk of cervical and central nervous system or pituitary cancer, and decreasing risk of uterine body and ovarian malignancies, were seen with increasing duration of oral contraceptive use. Reduced relative risk estimates were observed for ovarian and uterine body cancer many years after stopping oral contraception, although some were not statistically significant. The estimated absolute rate reduction of any cancer among ever users was 45 or 10 per 100,000 woman years, depending on whether the main or general practitioner observation dataset was used.
In this UK cohort, oral contraception was not associated with an overall increased risk of cancer; indeed it may even produce a net public health gain. The balance of cancer risks and benefits, however, may vary internationally, depending on patterns of oral contraception usage and the incidence of different cancers.
利用发病数据研究口服避孕药与癌症相关的绝对风险或益处。
队列起始研究。
皇家全科医师学院口服避孕药研究。
来自皇家全科医师学院口服避孕药研究的直接标准化数据。
不同类型癌症、合并的主要妇科癌症以及所有癌症中,从未使用和曾经使用口服避孕药者之间的调整相对风险。标准化变量包括年龄、吸烟情况、产次、社会阶层,以及(针对全科医师观察数据集)激素替代疗法。亚组分析考察了相对风险是否随使用者特征、口服避孕药使用时长以及末次使用口服避孕药后的时间而变化。
主要数据集包含从未使用者约33.9万妇女年的观察数据以及曾经使用者74.4万妇女年的观察数据。与从未使用者相比,曾经使用者患结直肠癌、子宫体癌、卵巢癌、部位不明肿瘤及其他恶性肿瘤、合并的主要妇科癌症以及所有癌症的发生率在统计学上显著更低。在较小的全科医师观察数据集中,所有癌症的相对风险未显著降低。随着口服避孕药使用时长增加,宫颈癌、中枢神经系统或垂体癌风险增加以及子宫体和卵巢恶性肿瘤风险降低的趋势具有统计学意义。停止口服避孕药多年后,卵巢癌和子宫体癌的相对风险估计值降低,尽管部分未达统计学显著水平。根据使用的是主要数据集还是全科医师观察数据集,曾经使用者中所有癌症的估计绝对发病率降低为每10万妇女年45例或10例。
在这个英国队列中,口服避孕药与总体癌症风险增加无关;实际上它甚至可能带来净公共卫生效益。然而,癌症风险和益处的平衡在国际上可能因口服避孕药使用模式和不同癌症的发病率而异。