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年轻驾驶员——车内有乘客时撞车风险降低。

Young drivers--reduced crash risk with passengers in the vehicle.

作者信息

Engström Inger, Gregersen Nils Petter, Granström Kjell, Nyberg Anders

机构信息

Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute (VTI), SE-581 95 Linköping, Sweden.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2008 Jan;40(1):341-8. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2007.07.001. Epub 2007 Jul 24.

Abstract

Studies have shown that the effect of passengers on accident propensity among young drivers is ambiguous--in some cases positive and some negative. In Sweden, various kinds of information are compiled in registers, including a national accident database and exposure data collected in a national investigation of the driving habits of license holders. Access to such data offers a good opportunity to study crash risks related to driving with and without passengers. This was done for drivers in three different age groups (18-24, 25-64 and >65 years) accompanied by one, two or three or more passengers. Differences in crash risk were estimated using incidence density ratios (IDRs) and 95% confidence intervals. The results show that passengers had an overall protective effect, that is, the crash risk was higher for those who drove alone, regardless of their age or gender. This protective effect increased with every extra passenger (up to eight), indicating that the more passengers in the vehicle, the safer the driving. The influence of passengers was weakest (albeit still positive) among the youngest drivers (ages 18-24 years), especially the males in that group. The protective impact showed the same pattern on all days of the week, but was most marked from Friday to Sunday for most of the drivers, regardless of age.

摘要

研究表明,乘客对年轻驾驶员事故倾向的影响并不明确——在某些情况下是积极的,而在另一些情况下则是消极的。在瑞典,各类信息都被汇编在登记簿中,包括一个全国事故数据库以及在一项针对驾照持有者驾驶习惯的全国性调查中收集到的暴露数据。获取此类数据为研究有无乘客时的驾驶碰撞风险提供了一个很好的机会。这项研究针对三个不同年龄组(18 - 24岁、25 - 64岁和65岁以上)的驾驶员展开,他们分别搭载一名、两名、三名或更多乘客。使用发病率密度比(IDR)和95%置信区间来估计碰撞风险的差异。结果显示,乘客总体上具有保护作用,也就是说,独自驾车者的碰撞风险更高,无论其年龄或性别如何。每增加一名乘客(最多八名),这种保护作用就会增强,这表明车内乘客越多,驾驶就越安全。在最年轻的驾驶员(18 - 24岁)中,乘客的影响最为微弱(尽管仍然是积极的),尤其是该年龄组中的男性。这种保护作用在一周的所有日子里都呈现相同的模式,但对于大多数驾驶员来说,无论年龄大小,在周五至周日最为明显。

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