Mavalankar Dileep, Shastri Priya, Bandyopadhyay Tathagata, Parmar Jeram, Ramani Karaikurichi V
Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, India.
Emerg Infect Dis. 2008 Mar;14(3):412-5. doi: 10.3201/eid1403.070720.
In 2005-2006, Réunion Island in the Indian Ocean reported approximately 266,000 cases of chikungunya; 254 were fatal (case-fatality rate 1/1,000). India reported 1.39 million cases of chikungunya fever in 2006 with no attributable deaths; Ahmedabad, India, reported 60,777 suspected chikungunya cases. To assess the effect of this epidemic, mortality rates in 2006 were compared with those in 2002-2005 for Ahmedabad (population 3.8 million). A total of 2,944 excess deaths occurred during the chikungunya epidemic (August-November 2006) when compared with the average number of deaths in the same months during the previous 4 years. These excess deaths may be attributable to this epidemic. However, a hidden or unexplained cause of death is also possible. Public health authorities should thoroughly investigate this increase in deaths associated with this epidemic and implement measures to prevent further epidemics of chikungunya.
2005年至2006年,印度洋上的留尼汪岛报告了约26.6万例基孔肯雅热病例;其中254例死亡(病死率为1/1000)。印度在2006年报告了139万例基孔肯雅热病例,无相关死亡病例;印度艾哈迈达巴德报告了60777例疑似基孔肯雅热病例。为评估此次疫情的影响,将艾哈迈达巴德(人口380万)2006年的死亡率与2002年至2005年的死亡率进行了比较。与前4年同期(2006年8月至11月)的平均死亡人数相比,基孔肯雅热疫情期间共出现了2944例额外死亡病例。这些额外死亡病例可能归因于此次疫情。然而,也有可能存在隐藏的或无法解释的死亡原因。公共卫生当局应彻底调查此次疫情相关的死亡人数增加情况,并采取措施防止基孔肯雅热进一步流行。