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青少年获得驾照第一年使用安全带的感知风险及其他预测因素和相关因素。

Perceived risk and other predictors and correlates of teenagers' safety belt use during the first year of licensure.

作者信息

Ouimet Marie Claude, Morton Bruce G Simons, Noelcke Elizabeth A, Williams Allan F, Leaf William A, Preusser David F, Hartos Jessica L

机构信息

Prevention Research Branch, Division of Epidemiology, Statistics and Prevention Research, National Institute of Child Health and Development, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland 20892-7510, USA.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2008 Mar;9(1):1-10. doi: 10.1080/15389580701638793.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Teenagers have the lowest rate of safety belt use and the highest crash rate compared to other age groups. Past studies on teenagers' belt use have mostly been cross-sectional. The first goals of this study were to examine, at licensure, teenagers' and parents' perceptions of risk of crash/injury for newly licensed teenagers when driving unbelted and teenagers' perceived and parents' intended consequences for safety belt rule violations. In addition, the comparability of these variables to other risky driving behaviors was explored. The second goal was to evaluate the importance of these variables in the prediction of teenagers' belt use during the first year of licensure, relative to other factors related to belt use, including demographics and substance use.

METHODS

More than 2,000 parent-teenager dyads were interviewed by telephone, parents at permit and licensure and teenagers at permit, licensure, and 3, 6, and 12 months after licensure.

RESULTS

Approximately a third of the teenagers reported at least once at 3, 6, or 12 months post-licensure not always using their safety belt in the past week. At licensure, participants' perceived risk of safety belt non-use was high and ranked among the behaviors most related to crash/injury for newly licensed teenagers, behind driving under the influence of alcohol or drugs. Parent-imposed consequences for safety belt rule violations were not as highly rated as parent-imposed consequences for driving under the influence of alcohol or drugs. Sequential logistic regression modeled the relationship between safety belt use and perceived risk and consequences of non-use, as well as other prospective predictors assessed at permit and licensure, and driving correlates measured after licensure. Teenagers' extreme perceived risk and parents' intended sure consequences for non-use were significant prospective predictors of regular use during the first year of licensure. Other significant predictors and correlates were race (White), high school grade average of "A," not smoking cigarettes, driving a passenger vehicle, and never receiving a traffic citation or engaging in risky driving behaviors, including driving under the influence of alcohol or drugs and running a red light.

CONCLUSIONS

While the effect size was small for perceived risk of non-use, it is a modifiable factor and focused intervention contrived to enhance perceived risk could increase teenagers' belt use. Perceived risk is discussed as a target for intervention in relation to the Protection Motivation Theory. This theory appears helpful in guiding future research into the modifiable factors studied here as well as other factors, including perceived rewards and costs associated with non-use.

摘要

目标

与其他年龄组相比,青少年使用安全带的比例最低,撞车率最高。过去关于青少年安全带使用情况的研究大多是横断面研究。本研究的首要目标是在青少年获得驾照时,调查青少年及其父母对于新获得驾照的青少年不系安全带驾车时撞车/受伤风险的认知,以及青少年对于违反安全带规定的认知和父母预期的后果。此外,还探讨了这些变量与其他危险驾驶行为的可比性。第二个目标是评估这些变量在预测青少年获得驾照第一年的安全带使用情况时的重要性,相对于其他与安全带使用相关的因素,包括人口统计学因素和物质使用情况。

方法

通过电话对2000多个父母-青少年二元组进行了访谈,在青少年获得学习许可证和驾照时访谈父母,在青少年获得学习许可证、驾照时以及获得驾照后3个月、6个月和12个月访谈青少年。

结果

大约三分之一的青少年报告在获得驾照后3个月、6个月或12个月中的至少一次,在过去一周内并非总是使用安全带。在获得驾照时,参与者认为不使用安全带的风险很高,在与新获得驾照的青少年撞车/受伤最相关的行为中排名靠前,仅次于在酒精或药物影响下驾驶。父母对违反安全带规定的惩罚评级不如对在酒精或药物影响下驾驶的惩罚评级高。顺序逻辑回归模型分析了安全带使用与不使用安全带的感知风险和后果之间的关系,以及在获得学习许可证和驾照时评估的其他前瞻性预测因素,和在获得驾照后测量的驾驶相关因素。青少年对不使用安全带的极端感知风险和父母预期的确定后果是获得驾照第一年经常使用安全带的重要前瞻性预测因素。其他重要的预测因素和相关因素包括种族(白人)、高中平均成绩为“A”、不吸烟、驾驶乘用车,以及从未收到过交通罚单或从事危险驾驶行为,包括在酒精或药物影响下驾驶和闯红灯。

结论

虽然不使用安全带的感知风险的效应量较小,但它是一个可改变的因素,旨在提高感知风险的针对性干预可能会增加青少年安全带的使用。根据保护动机理论,感知风险被作为干预目标进行了讨论。该理论似乎有助于指导未来对本文研究的可改变因素以及其他因素的研究,包括与不使用安全带相关的感知奖励和成本。

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J Youth Adolesc. 1985 Apr;14(2):73-84. doi: 10.1007/BF02098648.
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