Smith Eliot R, Conrey Frederica R
Department of Psychological and Brain Sciences, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405-7007, USA.
Pers Soc Psychol Rev. 2007 Feb;11(1):87-104. doi: 10.1177/1088868306294789.
Most social and psychological phenomena occur not as the result of isolated decisions by individuals but rather as the result of repeated interactions between multiple individuals over time. Yet the theory-building and modeling techniques most commonly used in social psychology are less than ideal for understanding such dynamic and interactive processes. This article describes an alternative approach to theory building, agent-based modeling (ABM), which involves simulation of large numbers of autonomous agents that interact with each other and with a simulated environment and the observation of emergent patterns from their interactions. The authors believe that the ABM approach is better able than prevailing approaches in the field, variable-based modeling (VBM) techniques such as causal modeling, to capture types of complex, dynamic, interactive processes so important in the social world. The article elaborates several important contrasts between ABM and VBM and offers specific recommendations for learning more and applying the ABM approach.
大多数社会和心理现象的发生并非个体孤立决策的结果,而是多个个体随着时间反复互动的结果。然而,社会心理学中最常用的理论构建和建模技术对于理解此类动态和互动过程并不理想。本文介绍了一种构建理论的替代方法,即基于主体的建模(ABM),它涉及对大量自主主体进行模拟,这些主体相互之间以及与模拟环境进行互动,并观察其互动中出现的模式。作者认为,与该领域中占主导地位的方法——诸如因果建模等基于变量的建模(VBM)技术相比,ABM方法更能捕捉在社会世界中如此重要的复杂、动态、互动过程的类型。本文阐述了ABM与VBM之间的几个重要对比,并为进一步了解和应用ABM方法提供了具体建议。