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用于时间序列健康研究的环境空气质量人口加权指标的开发。

Development of ambient air quality population-weighted metrics for use in time-series health studies.

作者信息

Ivy Diane, Mulholland James A, Russell Armistead G

机构信息

School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332-0512, USA.

出版信息

J Air Waste Manag Assoc. 2008 May;58(5):711-20. doi: 10.3155/1047-3289.58.5.711.

Abstract

A robust methodology was developed to compute population-weighted daily measures of ambient air pollution for use in time-series studies of acute health effects. Ambient data, including criteria pollutants and four fine particulate matter (PM) components, from monitors located in the 20-county metropolitan Atlanta area over the time period of 1999-2004 were normalized, spatially resolved using inverse distance-square weighting to Census tracts, denormalized using descriptive spatial models, and population-weighted. Error associated with applying this procedure with fewer than the maximum number of observations was also calculated. In addition to providing more representative measures of ambient air pollution for the health study population than provided by a central monitor alone and dampening effects of measurement error and local source impacts, results were used to evaluate spatial variability and to identify air pollutants for which ambient concentrations are poorly characterized. The decrease in correlation of daily monitor observations with daily population-weighted average values with increasing distance of the monitor from the urban center was much greater for primary pollutants than for secondary pollutants. Of the criteria pollutant gases, sulfur dioxide observations were least representative because of the failure of ambient networks to capture the spatial variability of this pollutant for which concentrations are dominated by point source impacts. Daily fluctuations in PM of particles less than 10 microm in aerodynamic diameter (PM10) mass were less well characterized than PM of particles less than 2.5 microm in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5) mass because of a smaller number of PM10 monitors with daily observations. Of the PM2.5 components, the carbon fractions were less well spatially characterized than sulfate and nitrate both because of primary emissions of elemental and organic carbon and because of differences in measurement techniques used to assess these carbon fractions.

摘要

开发了一种稳健的方法来计算环境空气污染的人口加权日测量值,用于急性健康影响的时间序列研究。1999 - 2004年期间位于大亚特兰大地区20个县的监测器的环境数据,包括标准污染物和四种细颗粒物(PM)成分,经过归一化处理,使用反距离平方加权法按普查区进行空间解析,再使用描述性空间模型进行去归一化处理并进行人口加权。还计算了在观测值少于最大数量的情况下应用此程序所产生的误差。除了为健康研究人群提供比仅由中央监测器提供的更具代表性的环境空气污染测量值,并减轻测量误差和本地源影响的效果外,研究结果还用于评估空间变异性,并识别环境浓度特征描述不佳的空气污染物。对于主要污染物,随着监测器与市中心距离的增加,日监测观测值与日人口加权平均值之间的相关性下降幅度比次要污染物大得多。在标准污染物气体中,二氧化硫观测值最不具代表性,因为环境监测网络未能捕捉到该污染物的空间变异性,其浓度主要受点源影响。空气动力学直径小于10微米的颗粒物(PM10)质量的日波动特征不如空气动力学直径小于2.5微米的颗粒物(PM2.5)质量,因为每日观测的PM10监测器数量较少。在PM2.5成分中,碳组分的空间特征不如硫酸盐和硝酸盐,这既是因为元素碳和有机碳的一次排放,也是因为用于评估这些碳组分的测量技术存在差异。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/285a/3755367/ef72580aaf4c/nihms495999f1.jpg

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