Boys R J, Forster D P, Józan P
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Newcastle upon Tyne.
BMJ. 1991 Oct 12;303(6807):879-83. doi: 10.1136/bmj.303.6807.879.
To investigate comparative national trends in mortality from conditions amenable to timely, appropriate medical care and from those considered not to be amenable to such care.
Analysis of trends in direct age standardised mortality from the 1950s to 1987.
Four eastern European nations (Hungary, Czechoslovakia, Poland, the German Democratic Republic) and two western European (the Federal Republic of Germany and England and Wales) and two North American nations (United States and Canada).
The total populations of the relevant countries during the period examined.
Proportional changes over time in age standardised mortality. Mortality from amenable and non-amenable causes was restricted to the age group 0-64.
A divergence in the trends for all cause mortality between eastern Europe and the western nations occurred in about 1970, when the rates in western countries steadily declined but those in eastern Europe remained fairly static. In the age group 0-64 mortality from causes considered amenable to medical care fell less quickly in eastern Europe than in the West, particularly after 1970. In the same age group, mortality from non-amenable causes rose in eastern European countries from the late 1960s compared with substantial declines in such mortality in the West.
Non-amenable causes of death seem to be the principal, but not exclusive, reason for lack of improvement in trends in all cause mortality in eastern Europe from 1970. The agenda for action in eastern Europe should give priority to a healthier lifestyle and improvement of the environment though not neglect enhancements in the quality and efficiency of direct health services.
调查各国在因可通过及时、适当医疗护理解决的疾病导致的死亡率以及因被认为无法通过此类护理解决的疾病导致的死亡率方面的比较趋势。
对20世纪50年代至1987年直接年龄标准化死亡率的趋势进行分析。
四个东欧国家(匈牙利、捷克斯洛伐克、波兰、德意志民主共和国)、两个西欧国家(德意志联邦共和国和英格兰及威尔士)以及两个北美国家(美国和加拿大)。
所考察期间相关国家的全部人口。
年龄标准化死亡率随时间的比例变化。可解决和不可解决病因导致的死亡率仅限于0至64岁年龄组。
东欧和西方国家在全因死亡率趋势上的差异大约出现在1970年,当时西方国家的死亡率稳步下降,而东欧的死亡率则基本保持稳定。在0至64岁年龄组中,东欧因可通过医疗护理解决的病因导致的死亡率下降速度比西方慢,尤其是在1970年之后。在同一年龄组中,与西方此类死亡率大幅下降相比,东欧国家自20世纪60年代末以来,因不可解决病因导致的死亡率有所上升。
不可解决的死因似乎是1970年以来东欧全因死亡率趋势缺乏改善的主要但非唯一原因。东欧的行动议程应优先考虑更健康的生活方式和环境改善,同时也不应忽视直接医疗服务质量和效率的提升。