McLaws Melissa, Ribble Carl, Martin Wayne, Wilesmith John
Department of Population Medicine, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario.
Can Vet J. 2009 Jan;50(1):53-60.
An essential objective of an effective foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) eradication campaign is to shorten the infectious period by rapidly detecting and destroying cases of disease. The purpose of our investigation was to identify factors associated with the early detection of clinical FMD during the 2001 outbreak in the United Kingdom. We performed a logistic regression analysis, using early versus late detection of disease as the outcome of interest.During the 2001 FMD outbreak in the United Kingdom, infected premises were more likely to be detected early under the following circumstances: 1) cattle (particularly dairy) were infected rather than sheep; 2) a recently confirmed infected premises was within 3 km of the new case; and 3) the case was initially reported by the farmer, rather than a Local Disease Control Centre-initiated surveillance activity (patrol, tracing, pre-emptive cull). Our findings suggest that reporting by farmers and initiatives that increase farmer education and awareness should be encouraged.
一场有效的口蹄疫根除行动的一个基本目标是通过快速检测和扑杀病畜来缩短传染期。我们调查的目的是确定与2001年英国口蹄疫疫情期间临床口蹄疫早期检测相关的因素。我们进行了逻辑回归分析，将疾病的早期检测与晚期检测作为感兴趣的结果。在2001年英国口蹄疫疫情期间，在以下情况下，感染场所更有可能被早期检测到：1）牛（特别是奶牛）被感染而不是羊；2）最近确诊的感染场所距离新病例在3公里以内；3）病例最初是由农民报告的，而不是由地方疾病控制中心发起的监测活动（巡逻、追踪、预防性扑杀）。我们的研究结果表明，应鼓励农民报告以及开展提高农民教育和意识的举措。
