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Methods for improving regression analysis for skewed continuous or counted responses.改善偏态连续或计数反应回归分析的方法。
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吸烟和饮酒与高龄老年人年龄相关性黄斑变性的关系:骨质疏松性骨折研究。

The association of smoking and alcohol use with age-related macular degeneration in the oldest old: the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures.

机构信息

Department of Ophthalmology, Jules Stein Eye Institute, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, School of Public Health, UCLA, Los Angeles, California 90095, USA.

出版信息

Am J Ophthalmol. 2010 Jan;149(1):160-9. doi: 10.1016/j.ajo.2009.07.025. Epub 2009 Oct 1.

DOI:10.1016/j.ajo.2009.07.025
PMID:19796757
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3068844/
Abstract

PURPOSE

To estimate the incidence of age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and the association of smoking and alcohol in a population of older women.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

METHODS

Subjects were women who attended the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures year-10 and year-15 follow-up clinic visits and had fundus photographs taken at both visits (n = 1958; 245 Black and 1713 White subjects; mean age at year 10 visit, 78.2 years). Forty-five degree stereoscopic fundus photographs were graded for AMD. Logistic regression was used to test whether risk factors were associated with incident AMD.

RESULTS

The overall 5-year AMD incidence was 24.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 21.7 to 26.6) for early and 5.7% (95% CI, 4.6 to 6.8) for late. Early AMD incidence in White subjects ranged from 21.9% in those aged 74 to 79 years to 33.2% in those 80 to 84 years, but was observed at the slightly lower rate of 29.0% in subjects > or =85 years (trend P < .0001). After confounder adjustment, alcohol consumption was significantly associated with an elevated risk of incident early AMD (odds ratio [OR], 1.57; 95% CI, 1.18 to 2.11). There was an increased risk of early AMD among subjects aged 80 years or older who were smoking compared to those younger than 80 years who were not smoking (OR, 5.49; 95% CI, 1.57 to 19.20; P for interaction = .026).

CONCLUSIONS

The magnitude of the greater-than-additive effect of smoking on the age-adjusted risk of AMD reinforces recommendations to quit smoking even for older individuals.

摘要

目的

评估老年女性人群中年龄相关性黄斑变性(AMD)的发病率,以及吸烟和饮酒的相关性。

设计

前瞻性队列研究。

方法

本研究纳入参加了骨质疏松性骨折研究 10 年和 15 年随访诊所的女性患者,且在两次就诊时都拍摄了眼底照片(n = 1958;245 名黑人,1713 名白人;10 年就诊时的平均年龄为 78.2 岁)。使用 45 度立体眼底照片对 AMD 进行分级。采用 logistic 回归检验危险因素与新发 AMD 的相关性。

结果

总的 5 年 AMD 发生率为 24.1%(95%可信区间[CI],21.7%至 26.6%),其中早期 AMD 发生率为 24.1%(95% CI,21.7%至 26.6%),晚期 AMD 发生率为 5.7%(95% CI,4.6%至 6.8%)。白人受试者中,74 至 79 岁年龄组的早期 AMD 发生率为 21.9%,80 至 84 岁年龄组为 33.2%,但 85 岁及以上年龄组的发生率略低,为 29.0%(趋势 P <.0001)。在调整混杂因素后,饮酒与新发早期 AMD 的风险升高显著相关(比值比[OR],1.57;95% CI,1.18 至 2.11)。与 80 岁以下不吸烟者相比,80 岁及以上的吸烟者发生早期 AMD 的风险更高(OR,5.49;95% CI,1.57 至 19.20;交互作用 P 值为.026)。

结论

吸烟对 AMD 年龄调整风险的超加性影响大于单纯相加,这进一步强调了即使是老年人也应戒烟的建议。