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贝叶斯广义线性混合模型在口腔健康研究中的灵活性。

Flexibility of Bayesian generalized linear mixed models for oral health research.

机构信息

Department of Public Health and Microbiology, University of Torino, Turin, Italy.

出版信息

Stat Med. 2009 Dec 10;28(28):3509-22. doi: 10.1002/sim.3648.

Abstract

Many outcome variables in oral research are characterized by positive values and heavy skewness in the right tail. Examples are provided by many distributions of dental variables such as DMF (decayed, missing, filled teeth) scores, oral health impact profile score, gingival index scores, and microbiologic counts. Moreover, heterogeneity in data arises when more than one tooth is studied for each patient, due to the clusterization.Over the past decade, linear mixed models (LMEs) have become a common statistical tool to account for within-subject correlation in data with repeated measures. When a normal error is reasonably assumed, estimates of LMEs are supported by many statistical packages. Such is not the case for skewed data, where generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) are required. However, the current software available supports only special cases of GLMMs or relies on crude Laplace-type approximation of integrals. In this study, a Bayesian approach is taken to estimate GLMMs for clustered skewed dental data. A Gamma GLMM and a log-normal model are employed to allow for heterogeneity across clusters, deriving from the patient-operator-tooth susceptibility typical of this clinical context. A comparison to the frequentist framework is also provided. In our case, Gamma GLMM fits data better than the log-normal distribution, while providing more precise estimates compared with the likelihood approach. A key advantage of the Bayesian framework is its ability to readily provide a flexible approach for implementation while simultaneously providing a formal procedure for solving inference problems.

摘要

口腔研究中的许多结果变量具有正值和右偏态的特点。许多牙科变量的分布提供了示例,例如 DMF(龋齿、缺失、填充的牙齿)评分、口腔健康影响概况评分、牙龈指数评分和微生物计数。此外,由于聚类,当每个患者研究多个牙齿时,数据会出现异质性。在过去的十年中,线性混合模型(LME)已成为一种常用的统计工具,用于解释具有重复测量的个体内相关性。当合理假设正态误差时,许多统计软件包都支持 LME 的估计。对于偏态数据则并非如此,需要使用广义线性混合模型(GLMM)。然而,目前可用的软件仅支持 GLMM 的特殊情况,或者依赖于积分的粗糙拉普拉斯近似。在这项研究中,采用贝叶斯方法来估计聚类偏态牙科数据的 GLMM。采用伽马 GLMM 和对数正态模型来允许来自患者-操作员-牙齿易感性的聚类间异质性,这是这种临床环境的典型特征。还提供了与频率论框架的比较。在我们的情况下,伽马 GLMM 比对数正态分布更适合数据,同时与似然方法相比提供了更精确的估计。贝叶斯框架的一个关键优势是它能够轻松提供灵活的实施方法,同时为解决推理问题提供正式程序。

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