Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution of Washington, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2010 Mar 23;107(12):5687-92. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0906974107. Epub 2010 Mar 8.
CO(2) emissions from the burning of fossil fuels are the primary cause of global warming. Much attention has been focused on the CO(2) directly emitted by each country, but relatively little attention has been paid to the amount of emissions associated with the consumption of goods and services in each country. Consumption-based accounting of CO(2) emissions differs from traditional, production-based inventories because of imports and exports of goods and services that, either directly or indirectly, involve CO(2) emissions. Here, using the latest available data, we present a global consumption-based CO(2) emissions inventory and calculations of associated consumption-based energy and carbon intensities. We find that, in 2004, 23% of global CO(2) emissions, or 6.2 gigatonnes CO(2), were traded internationally, primarily as exports from China and other emerging markets to consumers in developed countries. In some wealthy countries, including Switzerland, Sweden, Austria, the United Kingdom, and France, >30% of consumption-based emissions were imported, with net imports to many Europeans of >4 tons CO(2) per person in 2004. Net import of emissions to the United States in the same year was somewhat less: 10.8% of total consumption-based emissions and 2.4 tons CO(2) per person. In contrast, 22.5% of the emissions produced in China in 2004 were exported, on net, to consumers elsewhere. Consumption-based accounting of CO(2) emissions demonstrates the potential for international carbon leakage. Sharing responsibility for emissions among producers and consumers could facilitate international agreement on global climate policy that is now hindered by concerns over the regional and historical inequity of emissions.
燃烧化石燃料产生的二氧化碳排放是全球变暖的主要原因。人们高度关注每个国家直接排放的二氧化碳,但相对较少关注与各国消费的商品和服务相关的排放量。基于消费的二氧化碳排放核算与传统的基于生产的清单不同,因为商品和服务的进出口直接或间接地涉及二氧化碳排放。在这里,我们使用最新的可用数据,提供了一个基于全球消费的二氧化碳排放清单,并计算了相关的基于消费的能源和碳强度。我们发现,在 2004 年,全球二氧化碳排放量的 23%,即 62 亿吨二氧化碳,在国际上进行了交易,主要是中国和其他新兴市场向发达国家的消费者出口。在一些富裕国家,包括瑞士、瑞典、奥地利、英国和法国,超过 30%的基于消费的排放量是进口的,许多欧洲人在 2004 年的人均净进口排放量超过 4 吨二氧化碳。同年美国的净进口排放量略低:占基于消费的排放量的 10.8%和人均 2.4 吨二氧化碳。相比之下,2004 年中国生产的二氧化碳排放量有 22.5%净出口到其他地区的消费者。基于消费的二氧化碳排放核算表明存在国际碳泄漏的可能性。在生产者和消费者之间分担排放责任,可以促进国际协议达成,从而制定全球气候政策,而目前这一协议受到排放的地区和历史不平等问题的阻碍。