在人类感染控制中，对疫情严重程度的量化。
Quantification of the severity of an outbreak in human infection control.
机构信息
Shunde Biguiyuan Hospital, Guangdong, China.
出版信息
Int J Infect Dis. 2010 Sep;14 Suppl 3:e3-5. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2009.09.010. Epub 2010 Mar 15.
BACKGROUND
The severity of an outbreak is a priority in decision-making for human infection control. However, there have been no reports on how to quantify the severity of an outbreak.
METHODS
We propose a simple method to measure the severity of an infectious disease outbreak. It involves scoring the severity of clinical signs, the transmission of the infection, the number of cases, and the infection source.
RESULTS
The method was evaluated using the data available at the early stage of some recent outbreaks of infectious diseases, including the influenza A (H1N1) pandemic in 2009, and the evaluation supports the design idea.
CONCLUSION
The method is practical for rating the severity of an infectious disease outbreak, though it should be optimized. It could also be used to judge whether an event constitutes a public health emergency of international concern (PHEIC) or not.
背景
疫情的严重程度是人类感染控制决策的首要考虑因素。然而，目前还没有关于如何量化疫情严重程度的报告。
方法
我们提出了一种简单的方法来衡量传染病疫情的严重程度。它涉及对临床症状、感染传播、病例数量和感染源的严重程度进行评分。
结果
该方法使用了 2009 年甲型 H1N1 流感大流行等一些近期传染病疫情早期阶段的可用数据进行了评估，评估结果支持设计思路。
结论
该方法可用于评估传染病疫情的严重程度，虽然还需要进一步优化。它也可用于判断某事件是否构成国际关注的突发公共卫生事件（PHEIC）。
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