Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis, California, USA.
Ann N Y Acad Sci. 2010 May;1195:28-45. doi: 10.1111/j.1749-6632.2010.05457.x.
Governments worldwide are promoting the development of biofuels in order to mitigate the climate impact of using fuels. In this article, I discuss the impacts of biofuels on climate change, water use, and land use. I discuss the overall metric by which these impacts have been measured and then present and discuss estimates of the impacts. In spite of the complexities of the environmental and technological systems that affect climate change, land use, and water use, and the difficulties of constructing useful metrics, it is possible to make some qualitative overall assessments. It is likely that biofuels produced from crops using conventional agricultural practices will not mitigate the impacts of climate change and will exacerbate stresses on water supplies, water quality, and land use, compared with petroleum fuels. Policies should promote the development of sustainable biofuel programs that have very low inputs of fossil fuels and chemicals that rely on rainfall or abundant groundwater, and that use land with little or no economic or ecological value in alternative uses.
为了减轻燃料使用对气候变化的影响,全球各国政府都在推动生物燃料的发展。本文讨论了生物燃料对气候变化、水利用和土地利用的影响。我讨论了衡量这些影响的总体指标,然后提出并讨论了对这些影响的估计。尽管影响气候变化、土地利用和水利用的环境和技术系统非常复杂,构建有用的指标也很困难,但仍然可以进行一些定性的总体评估。与石油燃料相比,用常规农业实践生产的生物燃料不太可能减轻气候变化的影响,反而会加剧对水供应、水质和土地利用的压力。政策应该促进发展可持续的生物燃料计划,这些计划需要投入很少的化石燃料和化学品,依赖降雨或丰富的地下水,并且使用在其他用途中几乎没有经济或生态价值的土地。