Centre for Emerging, Endemic and Exotic Diseases, Royal Veterinary College, London, United Kingdom.
PLoS One. 2010 Jun 17;5(6):e11196. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0011196.
Accurate diagnosis of tuberculosis (TB) due to infection with Mycobacterium bovis is notoriously difficult in live animals, yet important if we are to understand the epidemiology of TB and devise effective strategies to limit its spread. Currently available tests for diagnosing TB in live Eurasian badgers (Meles meles) remain unvalidated against a reliable gold standard. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy and optimal use of three tests for TB in badgers in the absence of a gold standard.
METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: A Bayesian approach was used to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy and optimal use of mycobacterial culture, gamma-interferon assay and a commercially available serological test using multiple samples collected from 305 live wild badgers. Although no single test was judged to be sufficiently sensitive and specific to be used as a sole diagnostic method, selective combined use of the three tests allowed guidelines to be formulated that allow a diagnosis to be made for individual animals with an estimated overall accuracy of 93% (range: 75% to 97%). Employing this approach in the study population of badgers resulted in approximately 13 out of 14 animals having their true infection status correctly classified from samples collected on a single capture.
CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: This method of interpretation represents a marked improvement on the current procedure for diagnosing M. bovis infection in live badgers. The results should be of use to inform future test and intervention strategies with the aim of reducing the incidence of TB in free-living wild badger populations.
在活体动物中,准确诊断由牛分枝杆菌感染引起的结核病(TB)非常困难,但如果我们要了解 TB 的流行病学并制定有效的策略来限制其传播,这一点至关重要。目前可用于诊断活体欧亚獾(Meles meles)TB 的检测方法尚未经过可靠金标准的验证。本研究旨在评估在缺乏金标准的情况下,三种检测方法在獾中的诊断准确性和最佳使用方法。
方法/主要发现:使用贝叶斯方法评估了在 305 只活体野生獾中使用多个样本进行分枝杆菌培养、γ-干扰素检测和市售血清学检测的诊断准确性和最佳使用方法。虽然没有一种检测方法被认为具有足够的敏感性和特异性,可以单独用作诊断方法,但选择性地联合使用这三种检测方法,可以制定出针对个别动物的诊断指南,估计总体准确性为 93%(范围:75%至 97%)。在獾研究人群中采用这种方法,大约 13 只/14 只动物的真实感染状态可以从单次采集的样本中正确分类。
结论/意义:这种解释方法比目前在活体獾中诊断 M. bovis 感染的现行程序有了显著的改进。这些结果对于告知未来的检测和干预策略将有所帮助,目的是降低自由生活的野生獾种群中 TB 的发病率。