Ou Suh-Ruu, Reynolds Arthur J
Institute of Child Development, University of Minnesota-Twin cities.
Child Youth Serv Rev. 2010 Aug 1;32(8):1097-1107. doi: 10.1016/j.childyouth.2010.02.009.
The study sample was drawn from the Chicago Longitudinal Study (CLS), an ongoing investigation of a panel of low-income minority children (93% Black) growing up in high-poverty neighborhoods in Chicago. The study sample included 733 males who were active by age 26. Adult criminal records were collected through administrative records and supplemented with self-reports. Outcome measures included incarceration, conviction, and felony conviction by age 26. Probit regression was used to analyze the data. Findings indicated that common childhood predictors were AFDC participation by child's age 3, negative home environment, maltreatment experience, trouble making behavior, and number of school moves. Unique predictors were mother unemployed by child's age 3 for incarceration or jail, four or more children in household by child's age 3 for felony conviction, and mother did not complete high school by child's age 3 and social competence for both incarceration or jail and felony conviction. Implications on crime prevention were discussed.
研究样本取自芝加哥纵向研究（CLS），这是一项对一群在芝加哥高贫困社区成长的低收入少数族裔儿童（93%为黑人）进行的正在进行的调查。研究样本包括733名26岁时仍活跃的男性。成人犯罪记录通过行政记录收集，并辅以自我报告。结果指标包括到26岁时的监禁、定罪和重罪定罪情况。使用概率单位回归分析数据。研究结果表明，常见的童年预测因素包括孩子3岁时参与“对有子女家庭的援助”（AFDC）、负面的家庭环境、虐待经历、捣蛋行为以及转学次数。独特的预测因素包括孩子3岁时母亲失业会导致被监禁或入狱、孩子3岁时家庭中有四个或更多孩子会导致重罪定罪，以及孩子3岁时母亲未完成高中学业且社交能力差会导致被监禁或入狱以及重罪定罪。文中还讨论了对预防犯罪的启示。
