Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA.
Science. 2010 Aug 13;329(5993):793-6. doi: 10.1126/science.1189139.
Rapid growth in demand for lignocellulosic bioenergy will require major changes in supply chain infrastructure. Even with densification and preprocessing, transport volumes by mid-century are likely to exceed the combined capacity of current agricultural and energy supply chains, including grain, petroleum, and coal. Efficient supply chains can be achieved through decentralized conversion processes that facilitate local sourcing, satellite preprocessing and densification for long-distance transport, and business models that reward biomass growers both nearby and afar. Integrated systems that are cost-effective and energy-efficient will require new ways of thinking about agriculture, energy infrastructure, and rural economic development. Implementing these integrated systems will require innovation and investment in novel technologies, efficient value chains, and socioeconomic and policy frameworks; all are needed to support an expanded biofuels infrastructure that can meet the challenges of scale.
对木质纤维素生物能源需求的快速增长将要求供应链基础设施进行重大变革。即使进行了压缩和预处理,到本世纪中叶,运输量仍有可能超过当前农业和能源供应链(包括谷物、石油和煤炭)的总和。通过分散式转换工艺可以实现高效的供应链,这种工艺有利于就地取材、进行长途运输的卫星预处理和压缩以及奖励附近和偏远地区生物质种植者的商业模式。具有成本效益和节能的综合系统将需要对农业、能源基础设施和农村经济发展进行新的思考。实施这些综合系统需要创新和投资于新技术、高效价值链以及社会经济和政策框架;所有这些都是支持能够应对规模挑战的扩展生物燃料基础设施所必需的。