Thor Craig P, Gabler Hampton C
Virginia Tech - Center for Injury Biomechanics, Blacksburg, VA.
Ann Adv Automot Med. 2010;54:295-308.
Graduated driving licensing laws are now in place in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. However, despite stricter supervised driving requirements, restrictions on the number of passengers, and earlier nighttime driving curfews, teen drivers continue to be at a higher crash risk than the adult driving population. The National Motor Vehicle Crash Causation Survey (NMVCCS) dataset was examined to compare and contrast the primary crash factors for teen drivers (16-18 years. old) and adult drivers (35-55 years. old) in the GDL era. It is was found that teen drivers were 2.40 (CI:1.19-4.85) times more likely to be in a control loss crash and 1.88 (CI:1.12-3.15) times more likely to be in a road departure crash relative adult drivers. Furthermore, teen drivers who were in a crash were 1.73 (CI:1.25-2.38) times more likely to be distracted, 1.83 (CI: 1.38-2.43) times more likely to be driving inappropriately, and 1.47 (CI:1.30-1.67) times more likely to be inadequately aware of their driving environment than adults. Passengers and aggressive driving also contributed significantly to the heightened crash risk for teen drivers, after GDL implementation. This study emphasizes that while the number of teen crashes has decreased with GDL, the relative crash risk for certain experience related causative factors and pre-crash scenarios remain high for teen drivers after GDL implementation nationwide.
美国所有50个州和哥伦比亚特区都已实施分级驾驶许可法。然而,尽管有更严格的监督驾驶要求、对乘客数量的限制以及更早的夜间驾驶宵禁,但青少年驾驶员仍然比成年驾驶员面临更高的撞车风险。研究人员对国家机动车撞车因果关系调查(NMVCCS)数据集进行了分析,以比较和对比分级驾驶许可时代青少年驾驶员(16至18岁)和成年驾驶员(35至55岁)的主要撞车因素。结果发现,与成年驾驶员相比,青少年驾驶员发生失控撞车的可能性高2.40倍(置信区间:1.19至4.85),发生驶离道路撞车的可能性高1.88倍(置信区间:1.12至3.15)。此外,发生撞车事故的青少年驾驶员分心的可能性高1.73倍(置信区间:1.25至2.38),驾驶不当的可能性高1.83倍(置信区间:1.38至2.43),对驾驶环境的感知不足的可能性高1.47倍(置信区间:1.30至1.67)。在分级驾驶许可实施后,乘客和激进驾驶也显著增加了青少年驾驶员的撞车风险。这项研究强调,虽然分级驾驶许可使青少年撞车事故数量有所减少,但在全国范围内实施分级驾驶许可后,青少年驾驶员在某些与经验相关的致因因素和撞车前场景方面的相对撞车风险仍然很高。