Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Vasco de Quiroga 15, Colonia Sección XVI, Tlalpan, CP 14000, México DF, México,
Curr Infect Dis Rep. 2010 May;12(3):204-10. doi: 10.1007/s11908-010-0097-0.
Influenza pandemics are complex events that have occurred frequently throughout human history, three during the past century alone. Now the world is facing the first 21st century pandemic, and the comparison among them is essential to identify common epidemiologic patterns, clinical characteristics, and outcomes. The evolution of medicine, including diagnostic and treatment options, the critical care advances, and global responses are new interventions that could modify the general outcome of the pandemic. Learning from past and current events could lead to a plan for prompt and efficient response in future pandemics and may be help us to predict the unpredictable.
流感大流行是人类历史上经常发生的复杂事件,仅在过去一个世纪就发生了三次。现在,世界正面临着 21 世纪的第一次大流行,对它们进行比较对于确定常见的流行病学模式、临床特征和结果至关重要。医学的发展,包括诊断和治疗选择、重症监护的进步以及全球应对措施,都是新的干预措施,可能会改变大流行的总体结果。从过去和现在的事件中吸取教训,可以为未来的大流行制定及时有效的应对计划,并帮助我们预测不可预测的情况。