Medical Research Council Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Clin Infect Dis. 2011 Jan 1;52 Suppl 1(Suppl 1):S123-30. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciq028.
A critical issue during the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic was determining the appropriate duration of time individuals with influenza-like illness (ILI) should remain isolated to reduce onward transmission while limiting societal disruption. Ideally this is based on knowledge of the relative infectiousness of ill individuals at each point during the course of the infection. Data on 261 clinically apparent pH1N1 infector-infectee pairs in households, from 7 epidemiological studies conducted in the United States early in 2009, were analyzed to estimate the distribution of times from symptom onset in an infector to symptom onset in the household contacts they infect (mean, 2.9 days, not correcting for tertiary transmission). Only 5% of transmission events were estimated to take place >3 days after the onset of clinical symptoms among those ill with pH1N1 virus. These results will inform future recommendations on duration of isolation of individuals with ILI.
在 2009 年甲型 H1N1 流感大流行期间,一个关键问题是确定患有流感样疾病 (ILI) 的个体应隔离的适当时间,以减少传播,同时限制社会干扰。理想情况下,这是基于对感染过程中每个个体相对传染性的了解。对 2009 年初在美国进行的 7 项流行病学研究中,261 对临床明显的 pH1N1 感染者-感染者家庭进行了分析,以估计从感染者出现症状到其感染的家庭接触者出现症状的时间分布(平均为 2.9 天,未校正三级传播)。在感染 pH1N1 病毒的人群中,只有 5%的传播事件估计发生在临床症状出现后>3 天。这些结果将为未来关于 ILI 个体隔离时间的建议提供信息。