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交通执法应该是不可预测的吗?以埃德蒙顿的红灯摄像头为例。

Should traffic enforcement be unpredictable? The case of red light cameras in Edmonton.

机构信息

Faculty of Law and Management, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Victoria 3086, Australia.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2011 May;43(3):955-61. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2010.11.022. Epub 2010 Dec 24.

DOI:10.1016/j.aap.2010.11.022
PMID:21376888
Abstract

Red light cameras are installed in many jurisdictions around the world to improve road safety by discouraging red light running behaviour at signalized intersections. In many jurisdictions, a smaller number of cameras are rotated among a larger number of locations to increase the effectiveness of the red light camera programs. This study outlines some arguments for deciding the best deployment strategy that can be used to rotate these cameras, focusing on the deterrent effects of enforcement and punishment on driver behaviour. A simple on-road experiment is then conducted to determine the effectiveness of three different rotation schemes. Our results suggest that not moving the cameras and keeping enforcement predictable yields a lower average violation rate than moving the cameras around and making enforcement uncertain.

摘要

红灯摄像机在世界上许多司法管辖区都有安装,目的是通过劝阻信号灯交叉口的闯红灯行为来提高道路安全性。在许多司法管辖区,一小部分摄像机在多个位置之间轮换,以提高红灯摄像机计划的有效性。本研究概述了一些决策最佳部署策略的论据,这些策略可用于轮换这些摄像机,重点关注执法和处罚对驾驶员行为的威慑作用。然后进行了一项简单的道路实验,以确定三种不同旋转方案的效果。我们的结果表明,不移动摄像机并保持执法可预测性产生的平均违规率低于移动摄像机并使执法不确定。

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