Barnett Georgia D, Wakeling Helen C, Mandeville-Norden Rebecca, Rakestrow Janine
Sexual Offending Treatment Programmes Team, Rehabilitation Services Group, National Offender Management Service, London, England.
Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol. 2012 May;56(3):420-46. doi: 10.1177/0306624X11403125. Epub 2011 Apr 24.
This study examined the relationship between psychometric test scores, psychometric test profiles, and sexual and/or violent reconviction. A sample of 3,402 convicted sexual offenders who attended a probation service-run sexual offender treatment programme in the community completed a battery of psychometric tests pre- and posttreatment. Using Cox regression, posttreatment scores on measures of self-esteem, an ability to relate to fictional characters, and recognition of risk factors were, individually, predictive of recidivism. When psychometric tests were grouped into dynamic risk domains, only the pretreatment scores of the domain labelled socioaffective functioning (SAF) predicted recidivism and added predictive power to a static risk assessment. The number of risk domains that were dysfunctional pretreatment also predicted recidivism outcome; however, this did not add predictive power to a static risk assessment tool. Possible explanations for the superiority of pre- over posttreatment scores in predicting reconviction are discussed, and directions for further research considered.
本研究考察了心理测试分数、心理测试概况与再次性犯罪和/或暴力再定罪之间的关系。一个由3402名已定罪性犯罪者组成的样本参加了社区中由缓刑服务机构运营的性犯罪者治疗项目，他们在治疗前后完成了一系列心理测试。使用Cox回归分析，自尊量表得分、与虚构人物建立关系的能力得分以及风险因素识别得分在治疗后分别能够预测再犯情况。当将心理测试分组为动态风险领域时，只有标记为社会情感功能（SAF）领域的治疗前得分能够预测再犯情况，并为静态风险评估增加了预测能力。治疗前功能失调的风险领域数量也能够预测再犯结果；然而，这并未为静态风险评估工具增加预测能力。文中讨论了治疗前分数在预测再定罪方面优于治疗后分数的可能原因，并考虑了进一步研究的方向。
