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卫生部长:以短期任期实现长期目标?

Ministers of Health: short-term tenure for long-term goals?

作者信息

Ferraz Marcos Bosi, Azevedo Rafael Teixeira

机构信息

Centro Paulista de Economia da Saúde, Universidade Federal de São Paulo, Brazil.

出版信息

Sao Paulo Med J. 2011 Mar;129(2):77-84. doi: 10.1590/s1516-31802011000200005.

Abstract

CONTEXT AND OBJECTIVE

Healthcare investments should consider short and long-term demands. The objectives here were to compare the average tenures of ministers of health in Brazil and in another 22 countries and to evaluate the relationship between ministers' tenures and a number of indicators.

DESIGN AND SETTING

Descriptive study conducted at Centro Paulista de Economia da Saúde (CPES).

METHODS

Twenty-two countries with the highest Human Development Indices (HDIs) and Brazil were included. The number of ministers over the past 20 years was investigated through each country's Ministry of Health website. Pearson's correlation coefficient was used to compare the number of ministers in each country with that country's indicators. The Mann-Whitney test was used to compare ministers' tenures in Brazil and other countries.

RESULTS

The mean tenure (standard deviation, SD) of Brazilian ministers of health was 15 (12) months, a period that is statistically significantly shorter than the mean tenure of 33 (18) months in the other 22 countries (P < 0.05). There was a moderate and statistically significant positive correlation between the number of ministers and mortality rates for several conditions. The number of ministers also presented moderate and statistically significant negative correlations with per capita total healthcare expenditure (r = -0.567) and with per capita government healthcare expenditure (r = -0.530).

CONCLUSION

On average, ministers of health have extremely short tenures. There is an urgent need to think and plan healthcare systems from a long-term perspective.

摘要

背景与目的

医疗保健投资应兼顾短期和长期需求。本文旨在比较巴西和其他22个国家卫生部长的平均任期,并评估部长任期与若干指标之间的关系。

设计与背景

在圣保罗卫生经济中心(CPES)开展的描述性研究。

方法

纳入人类发展指数(HDI)最高的22个国家以及巴西。通过各国卫生部网站调查过去20年的卫生部长人数。采用Pearson相关系数比较各国卫生部长人数与其国家指标之间的关系。采用Mann-Whitney检验比较巴西和其他国家卫生部长的任期。

结果

巴西卫生部长的平均任期(标准差,SD)为15(12)个月,这一时期在统计学上显著短于其他22个国家卫生部长的平均任期33(18)个月(P<0.05)。在几种疾病方面,卫生部长人数与死亡率之间存在中度且具有统计学意义的正相关。卫生部长人数与人均医疗总支出(r=-0.567)和人均政府医疗支出(r=-0.530)也呈现中度且具有统计学意义的负相关。

结论

卫生部长的平均任期极短。迫切需要从长远角度思考和规划医疗保健系统。

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Ministers of Health: short-term tenure for long-term goals?卫生部长:以短期任期实现长期目标?
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