Department of Biological Sciences, National University of Singapore, 14 Science Drive 4, Singapore 117543.
Trends Ecol Evol. 2011 Nov;26(11):606-13. doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2011.06.015. Epub 2011 Jul 29.
Before the end of this century, tropical rainforests will be subject to climatic conditions that have not existed anywhere on Earth for millions of years. These forests are the most species-rich ecosystems in the world and play a crucial role in regulating carbon and water feedbacks in the global climate system; therefore, it is important that the probable impacts of anthropogenic climate change are understood. However, the recent literature shows a striking range of views on the vulnerability of tropical rainforests, from least to most concern among major ecosystems. This review, which focuses on the impact of rising temperatures, examines the evidence for and against high vulnerability, identifies key research needs for resolving current differences and suggests ways of mitigating or adapting to potential impacts.
在本世纪末之前，热带雨林将面临数百万年来地球上从未有过的气候条件。这些森林是世界上物种最丰富的生态系统，在调节全球气候系统中的碳和水反馈方面发挥着关键作用；因此，了解人为气候变化的可能影响很重要。然而，最近的文献表明，人们对热带雨林的脆弱性存在着从最不关注到最关注的显著差异，这是主要生态系统中最关注的问题。这篇综述主要关注气温上升的影响，它检验了热带雨林高度脆弱性的证据，确定了为解决当前差异所需的关键研究需求，并提出了减轻或适应潜在影响的方法。
