Department of Biology, University of York, Wentworth Way, York YO10 5DD, UK.
Science. 2011 Aug 19;333(6045):1024-6. doi: 10.1126/science.1206432.
The distributions of many terrestrial organisms are currently shifting in latitude or elevation in response to changing climate. Using a meta-analysis, we estimated that the distributions of species have recently shifted to higher elevations at a median rate of 11.0 meters per decade, and to higher latitudes at a median rate of 16.9 kilometers per decade. These rates are approximately two and three times faster than previously reported. The distances moved by species are greatest in studies showing the highest levels of warming, with average latitudinal shifts being generally sufficient to track temperature changes. However, individual species vary greatly in their rates of change, suggesting that the range shift of each species depends on multiple internal species traits and external drivers of change. Rapid average shifts derive from a wide diversity of responses by individual species.
目前,许多陆地生物的分布正在随着气候变化而向纬度或海拔方向发生变化。通过元分析,我们估计,物种的分布最近以每十年 110 米的中位数速度向更高的海拔转移,以每十年 169 公里的中位数速度向更高的纬度转移。这些速度大约是之前报告速度的两倍和三倍。在显示最高水平变暖的研究中,物种移动的距离最大,平均纬度转移通常足以跟踪温度变化。然而,各个物种在其变化率方面差异很大,这表明每个物种的范围转移取决于多种内部物种特征和变化的外部驱动因素。快速的平均转移源自于各个物种的广泛多样化的反应。