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应用多层次模型研究饮食模式与结直肠癌的关系:阿根廷科尔多瓦正在进行的病例对照研究。

Applying multilevel model to the relationship of dietary patterns and colorectal cancer: an ongoing case-control study in Córdoba, Argentina.

机构信息

National Research Council (CONICET). Biostatistics Unit, School of Nutrition, Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina.

出版信息

Eur J Nutr. 2012 Sep;51(6):755-64. doi: 10.1007/s00394-011-0255-7. Epub 2011 Oct 12.

Abstract

PURPOSES

Scientific literature has consistently shown the effects of certain diets on health but regional variations of dietary habits, and their relationship colorectal cancer (CRC) has been poorly studied in Argentina. Our aims were to identify dietary patterns and estimate their effect on CRC occurrence and to quantify the association between family history of CRC and CRC occurrence by applying multilevel models to estimate and interpret measures of variation.

METHODS

Principal components factor analysis was performed to identify dietary patterns that were then used in a multilevel logistic regression applied to an ongoing case-control data about dietary exposure and CRC occurrence taking into account familiar clustering.

RESULTS

Three dietary patterns were identified: "Southern Cone pattern" (red meat, wine, and starchy vegetables), "High-sugar drinks pattern", and "Prudent pattern". The study considered 41 cases and 95 controls. There was a significant promoting effects on CRC of "Southern Cone" (OR 1.5, 95%CI 1.0-2.2) and "High-sugar drinks" (OR 3.8, 95%CI 2.0-7.1) patterns, whereas "Prudent pattern" (OR 0.3, 95%CI 0.2-0.4) showed a significant protective effect at third tertile level. BMI, use of NSAIDs, and to have medical insurance showed significant effects. Variance of the random effect of family history of CRC was highly significant.

CONCLUSIONS

This novel approach for Argentina showed that Southern Cone and High-sugar drinks patterns were associated with a higher risk of CRC, whereas the Prudent pattern showed a protective effect. There was a significant clustering effect of family history of CRC.

摘要

目的

科学文献一直表明某些饮食对健康的影响,但饮食习惯的区域差异及其与结直肠癌(CRC)的关系在阿根廷研究甚少。我们的目的是确定饮食模式,并估计其对 CRC 发生的影响,以及通过应用多层次模型来估计和解释变异的度量来量化 CRC 家族史与 CRC 发生之间的关联。

方法

进行主成分因子分析以确定饮食模式,然后将其应用于多水平逻辑回归,该回归应用于关于饮食暴露和 CRC 发生的正在进行的病例对照数据,同时考虑到家庭聚类。

结果

确定了三种饮食模式:“南锥体模式”(红肉、葡萄酒和淀粉类蔬菜)、“高糖饮料模式”和“谨慎模式”。该研究考虑了 41 例病例和 95 例对照。“南锥体”(OR 1.5,95%CI 1.0-2.2)和“高糖饮料”(OR 3.8,95%CI 2.0-7.1)模式对 CRC 有明显的促进作用,而“谨慎模式”(OR 0.3,95%CI 0.2-0.4)在第三 tertile 水平显示出显著的保护作用。BMI、使用 NSAIDs 和有医疗保险显示出显著的影响。CRC 家族史的随机效应方差高度显著。

结论

这种针对阿根廷的新方法表明,南锥体和高糖饮料模式与 CRC 风险增加相关,而谨慎模式则显示出保护作用。CRC 家族史存在显著的聚类效应。

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