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丹麦哥本哈根的表观温度与特定病因死亡率:病例交叉分析。

Apparent temperature and cause-specific mortality in Copenhagen, Denmark: a case-crossover analysis.

机构信息

Section of Environmental Health, Institute of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Øster Farimagsgade 5A, Copenhagen DK-1014, Denmark.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2011 Sep;8(9):3712-27. doi: 10.3390/ijerph8093712. Epub 2011 Sep 16.

Abstract

Temperature, a key climate change indicator, is expected to increase substantially in the Northern Hemisphere, with potentially grave implications for human health. This study is the first to investigate the association between the daily 3-hour maximum apparent temperature (Tapp(max)), and respiratory, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular mortality in Copenhagen (1999-2006) using a case-crossover design. Susceptibility was investigated for age, sex, socio-economic status and place of death. For an inter-quartile range (7 °C) increase in Tapp(max), an inverse association was found with cardiovascular mortality (-7% 95% CI -13%; -1%) and none with respiratory and cerebrovascular mortality. In the cold period all associations were inverse, although insignificant.

摘要

温度是气候变化的一个关键指标,预计在北半球会大幅上升,这可能对人类健康产生严重影响。本研究首次采用病例交叉设计,调查了丹麦哥本哈根(1999-2006 年)每日 3 小时最高明显温度(Tapp(max))与呼吸、心血管和脑血管死亡率之间的关联。研究还调查了年龄、性别、社会经济地位和死亡地点等因素的易感性。Tapp(max) 每升高一个四分位距(7°C),心血管死亡率呈负相关(-7% 95%CI -13%;-1%),与呼吸和脑血管死亡率无关。在寒冷时期,所有关联均呈负相关,但无统计学意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e82d/3194112/327bdf661afb/ijerph-08-03712f1.jpg

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