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气候变化与健康:脆弱人群的室内热暴露。

Climate change and health: indoor heat exposure in vulnerable populations.

机构信息

University of Michigan School of Public Health, Environmental Health Sciences Department, 109 S. Observatory, SPH II, Rm. M6314, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA.

出版信息

Environ Res. 2012 Jan;112:20-7. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2011.10.008. Epub 2011 Nov 8.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Climate change is increasing the frequency of heat waves and hot weather in many urban environments. Older people are more vulnerable to heat exposure but spend most of their time indoors. Few published studies have addressed indoor heat exposure in residences occupied by an elderly population. The purpose of this study is to explore the relationship between outdoor and indoor temperatures in homes occupied by the elderly and determine other predictors of indoor temperature.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We collected hourly indoor temperature measurements of 30 different homes; outdoor temperature, dewpoint temperature, and solar radiation data during summer 2009 in Detroit, MI. We used mixed linear regression to model indoor temperatures' responsiveness to weather, housing and environmental characteristics, and evaluated our ability to predict indoor heat exposures based on outdoor conditions.

RESULTS

Average maximum indoor temperature for all locations was 34.85°C, 13.8°C higher than average maximum outdoor temperature. Indoor temperatures of single family homes constructed of vinyl paneling or wood siding were more sensitive than brick homes to outdoor temperature changes and internal heat gains. Outdoor temperature, solar radiation, and dewpoint temperature predicted 38% of the variability of indoor temperatures.

CONCLUSIONS

Indoor exposures to heat in Detroit exceed the comfort range among elderly occupants, and can be predicted using outdoor temperatures, characteristics of the housing stock and surroundings to improve heat exposure assessment for epidemiological investigations. Weatherizing homes and modifying home surroundings could mitigate indoor heat exposure among the elderly.

摘要

简介

气候变化正在增加许多城市环境中热浪和炎热天气的频率。老年人更容易受到热暴露的影响,但他们大部分时间都在室内度过。很少有已发表的研究探讨居住在老年人居住的住宅内的室内热暴露情况。本研究的目的是探讨老年人居住的住宅内的室外和室内温度之间的关系,并确定室内温度的其他预测因素。

材料与方法

我们在 2009 年夏季于密歇根州底特律收集了 30 个不同住宅的每小时室内温度测量值;室外温度、露点温度和太阳辐射数据。我们使用混合线性回归来模拟天气、住房和环境特征对室内温度的响应,并评估我们根据室外条件预测室内热暴露的能力。

结果

所有地点的平均最高室内温度为 34.85°C,比平均最高室外温度高 13.8°C。由乙烯基镶板或木质壁板建造的单户住宅的室内温度对室外温度变化和内部热量增加比砖房更为敏感。室外温度、太阳辐射和露点温度预测了室内温度变化的 38%。

结论

底特律的室内热暴露超过了老年居住者的舒适范围,并且可以使用室外温度、住房存量和周围环境的特征来预测,以改善流行病学研究中的热暴露评估。对房屋进行隔热和修改家庭环境可以减轻老年人的室内热暴露。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6be3/4352572/fa15b4a5668b/nihms-663611-f0001.jpg

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