Alcohol Alcohol. 2012 May-Jun;47(3):334-9. doi: 10.1093/alcalc/agr171. Epub 2012 Jan 25.
To estimate all-cause and cause-specific mortality risks by alcohol consumption level for the US population.
The survival analysis of data from National Health Interview Survey participants from 1997 to 2004 who were followed for mortality through 2006. Hazard ratios (HRs) adjusted for available demographic and health characteristics were calculated by alcohol consumption level for all-cause mortality and for mortality from circulatory and external causes. Alcohol consumption levels were generally defined as 'never drinker' (<12 drinks in life), 'former drinker' (0 drinks during last year), 'infrequent drinker' (<12 drinks in any year), 'light drinker' (1 drink per drinking day), 'moderate drinker'(2 drinks) and 'heavy drinker' (3+ drinks).
Adjusted mortality hazards for lifetime infrequent drinkers were much lower than the hazards for never drinkers among women, so lifetime infrequent drinkers were used as the reference category in survival analysis to estimate the mortality effects of alcohol consumption. Estimated all-cause mortality HRs for moderate drinkers were generally somewhat lower when compared with infrequent drinkers [HR for male moderate drinkers = 0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.75-1.01 and HR for female occasional moderate drinkers = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.69-0.93]. Former drinkers and regular heavy drinkers had higher mortality hazards among both men and women.
US light to moderate drinkers may have reduced mortality risks, but some portion of their previously observed lower mortality may be due to factors other than alcohol consumption such as medical care and social integration, particularly among women. Alcohol consumption among former and heavy drinkers appears to have increased their mortality risks.
估计美国人群因饮酒水平导致的全因和特定原因死亡率。
使用 1997 年至 2004 年期间参加国家健康访谈调查的参与者的数据进行生存分析,这些参与者在 2006 年之前一直跟踪至死亡。通过酒精摄入量计算全因死亡率和循环系统及外部原因死亡率的风险比(HR),并根据可用的人口统计学和健康特征进行调整。酒精摄入量通常定义为“从不饮酒者”(一生中<12 杯)、“前饮酒者”(去年无饮酒)、“不频繁饮酒者”(任何一年中<12 杯)、“轻度饮酒者”(每天 1 杯)、“中度饮酒者”(2 杯)和“重度饮酒者”(3 杯以上)。
女性中终生不频繁饮酒者的调整后死亡率风险远低于从不饮酒者,因此在生存分析中,终生不频繁饮酒者被用作参考类别,以估计饮酒对死亡率的影响。与不频繁饮酒者相比,适度饮酒者的全因死亡率 HR 通常略低[男性适度饮酒者的 HR=0.87,95%置信区间(CI)=0.75-1.01;女性偶发适度饮酒者的 HR=0.80,95%CI=0.69-0.93]。男性和女性中,前饮酒者和规律重度饮酒者的死亡率风险较高。
美国的轻至中度饮酒者可能降低了死亡率风险,但他们之前观察到的较低死亡率的部分原因可能并非饮酒所致,而是其他因素,如医疗保健和社会融合,尤其是女性。前饮酒者和重度饮酒者的饮酒行为似乎增加了他们的死亡率风险。