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世纪之交的癌症预测——印度科学

Cancer projection by the turn of century-Indian science.

作者信息

Murthy N S, Juneja A, Sehgal A, Prabhakar A K, Luthra U K

机构信息

Institute of cytology & Preventive Oncology, Maulana Azad Medical College Campus, Bahadur Shah Zafer Marg, New Delhi, India.

出版信息

Indian J Cancer. 1990 Jun;27(2):74-82.

PMID:2228015
Abstract

This is an attempt to understand the magnitude of cancer problem in India. The incidence data generated by the three population based cancer registries at Bangalore, Bombay and Madras and the population projections of country have been utilised for estimating the present and future load of new cancer cases. It is estimated that the total number of incident cases in males increased from 0.29 million to 0.43 million by the turn of the century as a result of change in size and composition of population and when adjusted for tobacco habits the estimates increased to 0.49 million. In females the incident cases of cancer for three registries increased from 0.32 to 0.42 million by 2001, with cancer of uterine cervix and breast being the major problems. The above results show an urgent need for strengthening and augmenting the existing diagnostic/treatment facilities which are vow fully inadequate to tackle even the present load.

摘要

这是一次对印度癌症问题严重程度的了解尝试。班加罗尔、孟买和马德拉斯的三个基于人群的癌症登记处生成的发病率数据以及该国的人口预测已被用于估计当前和未来新癌症病例的负担。据估计,由于人口规模和构成的变化,到本世纪之交,男性新发病例总数从29万增加到43万,若根据吸烟习惯进行调整,估计数增至49万。在女性中,到2001年,三个登记处的癌症新发病例从32万增加到42万,子宫颈癌和乳腺癌是主要问题。上述结果表明,迫切需要加强和扩充现有的诊断/治疗设施,因为这些设施目前远远不足以应对现有的负担。

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