Department of Public Administration, University of North Texas, Denton, TX, USA.
Risk Anal. 2012 Sep;32(9):1468-80. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01781.x. Epub 2012 Mar 2.
Developing effective evacuation and return-entry plans requires understanding the spatial and temporal dimensions of risk perception experienced by evacuees throughout a disaster event. Using data gathered from the 2008 Cedar Rapids, Iowa Flood, this article explores how risk perception and location influence evacuee behavior during the evacuation and return-entry process. Three themes are discussed: (1) the spatial and temporal characteristics of risk perception throughout the evacuation and return-entry process, (2) the relationship between risk perception and household compliance with return-entry orders, and (3) the role social influences have on the timing of the return by households. The results indicate that geographic location and spatial variation of risk influenced household risk perception and compliance with return-entry plans. In addition, sociodemographic characteristics influenced the timing and characteristics of the return groups. The findings of this study advance knowledge of evacuee behavior throughout a disaster and can inform strategies used by emergency managers throughout the evacuation and return-entry process.
制定有效的疏散和返回计划需要了解灾难事件中疏散人员在整个过程中对风险感知的空间和时间维度。本文利用 2008 年爱荷华州锡达拉皮兹洪水的数据,探讨了风险感知和位置如何影响疏散人员在疏散和返回过程中的行为。讨论了三个主题:(1)在疏散和返回过程中风险感知的时空特征,(2)风险感知与家庭遵守返回命令之间的关系,以及(3)社会影响对家庭返回时间的作用。结果表明,地理位置和风险的空间变化影响了家庭的风险感知和对返回计划的遵守。此外,社会人口特征影响了返回群体的时间和特征。这项研究的结果推进了对灾难过程中疏散人员行为的了解,并为应急管理人员在整个疏散和返回过程中使用的策略提供了信息。