Department of Biostatistics, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2012;7(5):e37025. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0037025. Epub 2012 May 18.
Negatively skewed data arise occasionally in statistical practice; perhaps the most familiar example is the distribution of human longevity. Although other generalizations of the normal distribution exist, we demonstrate a new alternative that apparently fits human longevity data better. We propose an alternative approach of a normal distribution whose scale parameter is conditioned on attained age. This approach is consistent with previous findings that longevity conditioned on survival to the modal age behaves like a normal distribution. We derive such a distribution and demonstrate its accuracy in modeling human longevity data from life tables. The new distribution is characterized by 1. An intuitively straightforward genesis; 2. Closed forms for the pdf, cdf, mode, quantile, and hazard functions; and 3. Accessibility to non-statisticians, based on its close relationship to the normal distribution.
在统计实践中偶尔会出现负偏态数据;也许最熟悉的例子是人类寿命的分布。尽管正态分布有其他的推广形式,但我们展示了一种新的替代方法,它显然更适合人类寿命数据。我们提出了一种正态分布的替代方法,其尺度参数与达到的年龄有关。这种方法与以前的发现一致,即条件存活率到模态年龄的长寿表现得像正态分布。我们推导出这样一个分布,并从生命表中展示了它在模拟人类寿命数据方面的准确性。新的分布具有以下特点:1. 直观的起源;2. pdf、cdf、模式、分位数和风险函数的闭式形式;3. 基于与正态分布的密切关系,对非统计学家具有可访问性。