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一种新的广义正态分布,用于人类寿命和其他偏态分布数据。

A novel generalized normal distribution for human longevity and other negatively skewed data.

机构信息

Department of Biostatistics, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2012;7(5):e37025. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0037025. Epub 2012 May 18.

Abstract

Negatively skewed data arise occasionally in statistical practice; perhaps the most familiar example is the distribution of human longevity. Although other generalizations of the normal distribution exist, we demonstrate a new alternative that apparently fits human longevity data better. We propose an alternative approach of a normal distribution whose scale parameter is conditioned on attained age. This approach is consistent with previous findings that longevity conditioned on survival to the modal age behaves like a normal distribution. We derive such a distribution and demonstrate its accuracy in modeling human longevity data from life tables. The new distribution is characterized by 1. An intuitively straightforward genesis; 2. Closed forms for the pdf, cdf, mode, quantile, and hazard functions; and 3. Accessibility to non-statisticians, based on its close relationship to the normal distribution.

摘要

在统计实践中偶尔会出现负偏态数据;也许最熟悉的例子是人类寿命的分布。尽管正态分布有其他的推广形式,但我们展示了一种新的替代方法,它显然更适合人类寿命数据。我们提出了一种正态分布的替代方法,其尺度参数与达到的年龄有关。这种方法与以前的发现一致,即条件存活率到模态年龄的长寿表现得像正态分布。我们推导出这样一个分布,并从生命表中展示了它在模拟人类寿命数据方面的准确性。新的分布具有以下特点:1. 直观的起源;2. pdf、cdf、模式、分位数和风险函数的闭式形式;3. 基于与正态分布的密切关系,对非统计学家具有可访问性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/22f6/3356396/f317bb7f9329/pone.0037025.g001.jpg

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